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AN ESSAY ON 
MARXIAN ECONOMICS 



Boolcs hy Joan Eobinsm 


THE ECONOMIOS OE IMTEEEECT COMPETITION 
ESSAYS IN THE THEOBY OF EMPLOYMENT 
INTHODHCTION TO THE THEOBY OF EMPLOYMENT 



AN ESSAY 


ON 

MARXIAN ECONOMICS 


BV 

JOAN ROBINSON 


ILLAN AND CO., LIMITED 
ST. MARTIN’S STREET, LONDON 
1942 



COPYRIGHT 


FimTTCD IX GBEAT BRlTAtX 
BV Hi ft n« CLARK, LIMITED, SDIKBUBOII 



FOEEWOED 


The purpose of this essay is to compare the 
economic analysis of Marx’s Capital with current 
academic teaching. The comparison is, in one 
sense, a violent anachronism, > for the develop- 
ment of Marx’s thought was influenced by con- 
troversy with his own contemporaries, not with 
mine. But if we are interested, not in the 
historical evolution of economic theory, but in 
its possible future progress, this is the relevant 
comparison to make. 

Until recently, Marx used to be treated. in 
academic circles with contemptuous silence, 
broken only by an occasional mocking footnote. 
But modem developments in academic theory, 
forced by modem developments in economic life 
— the analysis of monopoly and the analysis of 
unemployment — have shattered the structure 
of orthodox doctrine and destroyed the com- 
placency with which economists were wont to 
view the working of laisser-faire capitahsm. 
Their attitude to Marx, as the leading critic of 
capitalism, is therefore much less cock-sme than 
it used to be. In my belief, they have much to 
Ift ji.rr i from him. The chief difficulty in learn- 
ing from biTTi arises from the peculiar language 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

and the crabbed method of argument which he 
used, and my purpose is to explain what I 
understand Marx to have been saying in language 
intelligible to the academic economist. 

At the same time, I believe that modem 
academic economics has something to offer to 
the Marxists. First, a reconsideration of Marx’s 
argument in the light of the mbre precise and 
refined, methods of modem analysis clears up 
many obscurities in his theory, and helps to 
reveal its strong and weak points. Second, in 
the analysis of effective- demand — the theory 
of employment — modem economics prdvides 
a basis for the study of the law of motion of 
capitalism, which is suggested, but not fully 
developed, .by Marx himself. Moreover, both 
parties niust gain from attempting to understand 
their mutual criticisms, instead of indulging in 
ill-informed abuse. 

I have confined my argument to Marx’s 
economic analysis in the narrow sense, and 
made no attempt to deal -with the broad treat- 
ment of history and sociology which form the 
most important part of Marx’s doctrine. This 
specialised approach is perhaps an unnatural 
one, and it is true that no particular aspect of 
Marx’s argument can be properly understood 
■without a grasp of the whole. But at the same 
time a detailed study of particular aspects is 
also useful, and the aspect which I have chosen 
to discuss is one of the liighest unportance in 
the development of the whole. 



FOEEWORD 


The first volume of Das Kapital was published 
■ by Marx in 1867. After his death in 1883 Engels 
edited the manuscripts for the remaining two 
volumes, which consisted partly of finished 
sections, and partly of uncompleted or over- 
lapping rough drafts. Volume II was published 
in 1885 and Volume III in 1894. 

There is a good deal of repetition in Capital, 
and where I have referred to a particular passage 
I have generally chosen somewhat arbitrarily 
between a number which make the same point. 
The references are intended as a gage of good 
faith rather than as a guide to reading Capital. 
References are to Capital, Volume I, published 
by Glaisher,' 1920 ; Volume II, pubhshed by 
Swan Sonnenschein, 1907 ; and Volume III, 
published by Kerr, 1909. The references are 
numbered, and the title of the chapter and section 
in which each passage referred to occurs is given 
on pp. 116-20 for the convenience of readers 
using other editions. 

I am much indebted to Mr. E. Rothbarth for 
many helpful discussions and criticisms. 

JOAN ROBINSON 

Cambbidoi: 

September 1941 




CONTENTS 


noE 

Foeewoed V 

CHAPTER 1 

Intbodttction 1 

CHAPTER 2 

Definotons 7 

CHAPTER 3 

TnE Labohe Theory of Valhe . . .11 

Appendix : Value in a Socialist Economy . 27 

CHAPTER 4 

The Long-Period Theory of Employment . 34 

CHAPTER 5 

The Eallihg Rate of Profit . . .41 

CHAPTER 6 

Effective Demand ..... 50 

CHAPTER 7 

The Orthodox Theory of Profit . ... 61 

ix 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

■ CHAPTEB 8 

The Genb'rMj Theoby of Employment 

CHAPTER 9 

Impebfect CosiPETmoN . 

CHAPTER 10 

Real and Money Waoes 

CHAPTER 11 

Dynamjc Analysis .... 

Refebenoes TO “ Capit^ ” . ■ 

Index ...••• 


TAO£ 

. 75 

. 88 

. gg 

. Ill 

. 116 
. 121 


X 



CHAPTER 1 


INTRODUCTION 

The fundamental differences between Marxian 
and traditional orthodox economics are, first, 
that the orthodox economists accept the capitahst 
system as part of the eternal order of Nature, 
while Marx regards it as a passing phase in the 
transition from the feudal economy of the past 
to the socialist economy of the future. And, 
second, that the orthodox economists argue in 
terms of a harmony of interests between the 
various sections of the community, while Marx 
conceives of economic life in terms of a conflict 
of interests between owners of property who do 
no work and workers who own no property. 
These two points of difference are not uncon- 
nected — for if the system is taken for granted 
and the shares of the various classes in the social 
product are determined by inexorable natural 
law, all interests unite in requiring an increase 
in the total to be divided. But if the possibility 
of changing the system is once admitted, those 
who hope to gain and those who fear to lose by 
the change are immediately ranged in opposite 
camps. 


1 



AH ESSAY ON MABXIAN ECONOMICS 

. The • orthodox ecoaoinists. on tlm Tgimio 
identified themselves with the sy stem . and 
assumed the role of its apologists, wln'lp. Marx set 
himself to understand the working of canitalism 
i n order to hasten its overthrow . Marx was 
conscious of his purposes. The economists were 
in general unconscious. They wrote as they did 
because it seemed to them the only possible way 
to write, and they believed themselves to be 
endowed with scientific impartiality. ■ Their pre- 
conceptions emerge rather in the problems which 
they chose to study and the assumptions on which 
they worked than in overt pohtical doctrine. 

Since they believed themselves to be in 
search of eternal principles they paid little atten- 
tion to the special historical features of actual 
•situations, and, in particular, they were apt to 
project the economics of a community of small 
equal proprietors into the analysis of advanced 
capitalism. Thus the^ orthodox conception of 
competition entails that each commodity in each 
market is supplied by a large number of pro- 
ducers, acting individualistically, boxmd together 
neither by open collusion nor by unconscious 
class loyalty ; and entails that any individual 
is free to enter any line of activity he pleases. 
And the laws derived from such a society are 
applied to modern industry and finance. 

Again, the orthodox conception of wages 
tending to equal the muTgincil disutility of labour, 
which has its origin in the picture of a peasant, 
farmer leaning on his hoe in the evening and 
■ 2 



INTRODUCTION 


deciding whether the extra product of another 
hour’s work will repay the extra backache, is 
projected into the modem labour market, where 
the individual worker has no opportunity to 
decide anything except whether if is better to 
work or to starve. 

The orthodox economists have been much - 
preoccupied with elegant elaborations of minor 
problems, which distract the attention of their 
pupils from the uncongenial realities of the 
modem world, and the development of abstract 
argument has run far ahead of any possibility of 
empirical verification. Marx’s intellectual tools 
are far cruderj but his sense of reality is far 
stronger, and his argument towers above their 
intricate constmotions in rough and gloomy 
grandeur. 

He sees the capitalist' system as fulfilling a 
h istoric mission to draw out the productive 
power, of combined and specialised labour. 
IVom its birthplace in Jflurope it stretches out 
tentacles over the world to find its nourishment. 
It forces the accumulation of capital, and 
develops productive technique, and by these 
means raises the wealth of mankind to heights 
undreamed of in the peasant, feudal or slave 
economies. 

But the workers, who, under the compulsion 
of capitalism, . produce the wealth,, obtain no 
benefit from the increase in their productive 
.power. All the benefit accrues to. the class of 
capitahsts, for the efficiency of large-scale enter- 
3 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN’ ECONOMICS 

prise breaks down the competition of the peasant 
and the craftsman, and reduces all who have 
not propertj’^ enough to join the ranks of the' 
capitalists to selling their labour for the mere 
means of existence. Any concession which the 
capitalist makes to the worker is the concession 
- which the farmer makes to his beasts — to feed 
them better that they may work the more. 

The struggle, for life binds the workers 
•together and sets them in opposition to the pro- 
pertied class, while the concentration of capital 
in ever larger concerns, forced on by the de- 
velopment of technique, turns the capitalists 
towards the anti-social practices of monopoly. 

But the condemnation of the system does not 
onl}’’ depend upon its moral repugnance, and the 
inevitability of its final overthroit does not only 
depend upon the determination of the workers ■ 
to secure their rightful share in the product of 
their labour. The system contains contradictions 
within itself which must lead to its disruption. 
Marx sees the periodic crises of the trade cycle 
as symptoms of a deep-seated and progressive 
malady in the ■vitals of the system. 

Developments in economic analysis which 
have taken place since Marx’s day enable us 
to detect three distinct strands . of thought in 
Marx’s treatment of crises. There is, first, the 
theory of the reserve army of unemployed 
labour, which shows how unemployment tends 
to fluctuate with the relationship between the 
stock, of capital offering emp^ment to labour 



INTRODUCTION , 

and the supply of labour available to be 
employed. Second, there is the theoiy of the 
falling rate of profit, which shows how the 
capitalists’ greed for accumulation stultifies 
itself by reducing the average rate of return on ■ 
capital. And thirdly, there is the theory of the 
relationship of capital -good to consumption- 
good industries, which shows the ever-growing 
pfoductive power of society knocking against 
the limitation upon the power to consume 
which is set by the poverty of the workers. 

In Marx’s mind these three theories are not 
distinct, and are fused together in a single 
picture of. the system, racked by its own inherent 
contradictions, generating the conditions for its 
own disintegration. 

Meanwhile, the academic economists, without 
paying much attention to Marx, have been 
forced by the experiences of modem times to 
question much of the orthodox apologetic, and 
recent developments in academic theory have 
led them to a position which in some respects 
resembles the position of Marx far more closely 
than the position of their own intellectual fore- 
bears. The modern theory of imperfect com- 
petition, though formally quite different from 
Marx’s theory of exploitation, has a close afSnity 
with it. The modem theory of crises has many 
points of contact with the third line of argument, 
distinguished above, in Marx’s treatment of the 
subject, and allows room for something r'esem- ' 
bling the first. Only the second line of argument 
6 



AN ESSAY ON JIAEXIAN ECONOJIICS 

— the falling rate of profit — appears confused 
and redundant. 

In general, the nightmare qualitjr of Marx’s 
thought gives it, in this bedevilled age, an air of 
greater realit}' tlian the gentle complacenc3r of 
the orthodox academics. Yet he, at the same 
time, is more encouraging than they, for he 
releases hope as well as terror from Pandora’s 
box, while thej' preach onl}’’ the gloomy doctrine 
that all is for the best in the best of all possible 
worlds. 

But though Marx is more sympathetic, in 
manj’^ ways, to a modern mind, than the orthodox 
economists, there is no need to turn him, as 
man}'’ seek to do, into an inspired prophet. He 
regarded himself as a serious thinlcer, and it is 
as a serious thinker that I have endeavoured to 
treat him in the following pages. 

The next five chapters contain an outline of 
Marx’s argument, looked at from the point of 
view of a modern academic economist, . Chapter 
7 contrasts liis theorj'^ with the orthodox doc- 
trine. Chapters 8 and 9, on the theory of 
emplojonent and imperfect competition, show 
the movement of modern academic teaching 
aw’ay from orthodoxy in the direction of Marx. 
Chapter 10, on wages, discusses a problem in 
which the movement has been in the opposite 
direction, so that Marx for once appears, from 
the modern point of view, to be in the orthodox 
.camp. Chapter 11 briefly enumerates the un- 
solved problems which all tliree parties leave open. 

6 



CHAPTER 2 


DEFINITIONS 

Marx divides the net product of industry into 
two parts : variable capital and surplus. Variable 
capital {v) is the wages hiU.^ Surplus (s), which 
covers net profit, interest and rent,® is the excess 
of net product over wages. The difference be- 
tween gross and net product is constant capital 
(c), which consists of plant and raw materials. 
It is constant in the sense that it adds no more 
to the value of output than it loses in the process 
of production, new value added being due to the 
labour-power purchased by variable capital.® 
Fixed plant contributes to c only in respect to 
its rate of -wear and tear and depreciation.* 
Thus c consists of depreciation raw materials. 

The total product for any period, say a year, is 
then represented by c+v-i-s. These quantities 
are measured in value, or socially necessary 
labour-time.^ This concept involves some prob- 
lems which will be discussed in the next chapter. 

Marx conducts his argument in terms of three 

» Vol. I, p. 192<»). • 

» Vol. I, p. 194<»> and VoL HI, p. 903B1. 

• Vol. I, p. See also below, p. 16. 

‘ Vol. I, p. 196<*), - B Vol. p. 5{*). 

B 


7 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 
ratios : the rate of exploitation,^ the organic 

composition of capital,^ and the rate of proftl.’‘ 

The rate of exploitation, is the ratio of 

V 

surplus (net profit, interest and rent) to wages, 
and indicates the share of labour in net output. 
Marx often expresses it as a division of the work- 
ing day into the time whieh a man works for 
himself and the time which he works for the 
s 3 

capitalist. Thus if - equals g, and the worldng 

day is 10 hours, a man works 4 hours for himself 
and 6 hours for liis employer. He does 4 hours of 
“ necessary ” or “ paid ” labour, and 6 hours of 
“ surplus *’ or “ unpaid ” labour.* This ratio 
plays the leading part in Marx’s whole argument. 
The rate of exploitation is unambiguous. 

The other two ratios, - and , involve some 

V c+v 

confusion. Both the organic composition of 
capital and the rate of profit are connected with 
the stock of capital employed, not with the 
depreciation of capital. To turn c + v into the 
stock of capital we must refine upon Marx’s 
categories and break up c into depreciation and 
raw materials, say d and r. Then r + v and d 
must each be multiplied by the appropriate 
period of turnover. Suppose, for instance, that 


• Vol. I, p. 

» Vol. m, p. 66»). 


a Vol. I, p. O20<»). 
‘ Vol. I, p. 19fl(i»>. 



DEFINITIONS 

working capital represents on average six- 
months outlay on wages and raw materials, and 
that the average life of plant is ten years. Then 
r + v must be divided by 2, and d multiplied by 
10, in order to reduce 6 + v to the stock of capital. 
Marx was aware of these points, ^ but his ter- 
minology obscures them. We can avoid am- 
biguity, Avithout falsifying Marx’s meaning, if 
we use the symbols c, v and s only for rates per 
unit of time of depreciation and raw material 
cost, wages and profit, and speak of the organic 

composition of capital, not as -, but as capital 

per man employed. 

The conception of capital per man employed 
raises a further difficulty. It can vary in three 
different ways. Slump conditions increase capital 
per man simply by reducing the level of em- 
ployment while equipment remains unchanged;* 
the process of accumulation tends to increase 
capital per man at a given level of utihsation ; 
finally, technical progress and changes in the rate 
of interest and of real wages may alter capital 
per man (given utilisation) in either direction. 
Marx assumes that capital is always used to 

* Vol. n, p. and VoL lU, chap. This chapter was 

supplied by Engels, a sign, perhaps, that Jdarz found the subject 
perplexing or tedious. 

‘ ^ince Marx does not discuss this question explicitly, it is doubt, 
ful how he regarded it. He might be interpreted as regarding a 
decline in utilisation as equivalent to a reduction in capital. But 
this method of reckoning is excessively awkward, for it means that 
the rate of change of the stock of capital is not the same thing 
as the rate of accumulation. 


9 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

capacity Moreover, he assumes that the capacity 
output of a given amount of capital is rigidly 
determined hy technical conditions. The rate of 
interest has no-mfluence on the capital structure, 
and the rate of real wages affects it only in- 
directly, through its influence on technical pro- 
gress.*® 

These assumptions are fundamental to his 
whole argument. They rule out two sets of 
problems which, since Marx’s day, have received 
mueh attention from academic economists : prob- 
lems connected with the propCrtions of the factors 
of production employed in equilibrium, and prob- 
lems connected with changes in the utilisation of 
capital equipment in response to changes in the 
state of trade.' These points will be discussed 
later. The assumptions make a drastic simplifi- 
cation of a very complex problem, and, from an 
academic point of view, appear somewhat crude. 
But Marx avoids using certain no less drastic 
simplifications which the academic economists 
have -become accustomed to employ, and he 
conducts his argument in dynamic terms, while 
they are for the most part confined to a more 
exact but less interesting analysis of static 
conditions. 

^ This assumption is not stated explicitly, but it is taken for 
granted that, in a given state of technique, there is only one amount 
of labour that a given amount of capital TnU employ, e.ff, Vol. Ill, 

p. 

2 Vol. I, p. 653^^4^. 


10 



CHAPTER 3 


THE LABOUR THEORY OP VALUE 

Mabx’s theory of value has caused much con- 
fusion and generated much controversy. It 
seems, certainly, perplexing as we follow the 
uphill struggle of Marx’s o^vn mhid from the 
simple dogmatism of the first volume of Capital 
to the intricate formulations of Volume III. 
But if we start from the vantage ground of 
Volume III the journey is much less arduous. 

Capital is accumulating, the capitalist system 
is conquering fresh spheres from peasant and 
handicraft economies, the population is increas- 
ing and technical inventions are being made. 
.Real wages, in general, remain constant at the 
level established in the pre-capitalist peasant 
economy,! or, rather, fluctuate around that level 
as capitalists’ demand for labour varies relatively 
to the available supply.* The total surplus, in 
real terms, is the ever-increasing difference be- 
tween total output and total real wages. The 
organic composition of capital, dictated by 
technical conditions, is different in different 
spheres.® The rate of profit on capital tends 

* See belowi p. 35, n. 3. * Soo below, p. 37. ® Vol, III, p. 172^**^ 

11 



AX ESSAY OX IIAKYIAX ECOXOMICS 

to-R-ards equality iu all spheres, for the flovr of 
ueu- capital is attracted to-vrards more tlimi 
average profits and repelled by less than average 
profits.* Temporary. differences in the rate of 
profit in particular industries may be due to 
demEuid (which in turn is determined by the 
distribution of income between workers and 
capitalists).® These are evened out by a relative 
increase in capital, and therefore in output, 
where demand is relatively high.® Or they may 
be due to new techniques, winch lower costs of 
. production. These are evened out by the action 
of competition, which gradually forces the general 
adoption of the new methods, and lowers the 
price of the commodity concerned.* Since profit 
per unit of capital tends to be equal, and capital 
per man* employed is not equal, the rate of 
exploitation (profit per man) is not equal, in 
different industries. It tends to be above the 
average where capital per man is above the 
average.® 

Where available land is limited, and varies in 
respect to fertility and site-value, private pro- 
perty jn land enables its owners to exact a rent 
from the capitalists.® Rent is paid out of the 
surplus obtained by capital, but since profit per 
unit of capital tends to equahty in all lines of 
activity, the rate of exploitation must be higher 
the greater the rent that is paid. This is brought 
about by a rise in the relative prices of the com- 

» Vol. nr, p. SSOO'* and p. = Vol. HI, p. 2U<“'. 

= Vol. m, p. 22400. * Vol. ni, p. 22SO»). 

5 See below, p. 18. • Vol. HE, p. 75S<“> and p. 701<«>. 

12 



THE LABOUB THEORY OF VALUE 

moditiea concerned, as production is extended by 
the use of less efficient land and more intensive 
utilisation of more efficifent land.^ Thus relative 
prices are governed by demand and by costs, 
while costs in turn are influenced by technique 
and by the supply of natural factors of produc- 
tion, and demand is influenced by the distribu- 
tion of income. 

AU this differs from ort hodox theory in on ly 
one respect, but that is an important one. There 
is no tendency to long-run equilibrium and the 
average rate of profit is not an equilibrium rate, 
or a supply pr ice of capital. It is simply an 
average share in the total surplus which at any 
moment the capitahst syst em has succeeded in 
g enOTatin g. — — 

As the argument is presented in Volume I it 
appears on the surface to be very different, but 
the differences arise from what is omitted rather 
than from what is included in the analysis. We 
start from a purely dogmatic statement. “ The 
exchange values of commodities must be capable 
of being expressed in something common to 
them all, of wliich they represent a greater or 
less quantity. ... A use- value, or useful article, 
has value only because human labour in the 
abstract has been embodied or materiahsed in it. 

^ Vol. Ill, p. 773^”* and p. Marx’s treatment of rent is 

more realistic than the usual academic exposition. He allows for 
improvements in technique and so has no presumption in favour of 
Himinighlng returns to capital (p. 907)^*^^ It is interesting to note 
that he realises how ** rent enters into cost of production ’’ for a 
particular commodity : the rent of cereal land becomes a deter* 
mining element in the price of cattle ” (p. 802)^>*). 

13 


AJSr ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

How, 'then, is the magnitude of this value to 
be measured ? Plainly, by the quantity of the 
value-creating substance, the labour, contained 
iu the article. The quantity of labour, however, 
is measured by duration, and labom'-time in its 
turn finds its standard in weeks, days, and hours,”^ 
The standard of measurement is labour of 
average quality, “ All labour of a higher or 
more complicated character than average labour 
is expenditure of labour-power of a more costly 
kind, labour -power whose production has cost 
more time and labour,® and which therefore has 
a higher value, than unskilled or simple labour- 
power. ... In every process of creating value, 
the reduction of skilled labour to average social 
labour, e.g., one day of skilled to six days of 
unskilled labour, is unavoidable. We therefore 
save ourselves a superfluous operation, and 
simplify our analysis, by the assumption, that 
the labour of the workman employed by the 
capitalist is unskilled average labour.” * 

The value of a commodity consists not.only of 
1 Vol. I, pp. 4-6<">. 

^ The excess of a sIdllGd man’s wage over an unskilled would be 
limited by 'the greater cost of hie education, in a world of free 
mobility and equal opportunity. In reality, the supply of skilled 
workers (and still more, of professional workers) is restricted by the 
fact that 'the families of unskilled workers cannot generally allow 
their children time for any education at all above the statutory 
minimum. The extra wages of skilled men, therefore, measure not 
only "their cost of 'training, but also a scarcity value artificially 
created by the structure of society, l^arx neglected this somewhat 
obvious point, no doubt because he was anxious to stress the major 
/»inqa oouflict between capitalists and workers as a whole, and did 
not want to complicate the picture by allowing for subsidiary con- 
flicts within each class. See also below, p. 109, n. 2. 
a Vol. I, pp. 179.80<«). 


14 



THE LABOUE THEORY OF VALUE 

the labour-time directly employed in producing 
it, but also of the value of the raw materials and 
plant involved. “ The values of the means of 
production used up in the process are preserved, 
and present themselves afresh as constituent 
parts of the value of the product.” ^ “ The 

means of production . . . give up to the product 
that value alone which they themselves lose as 
means of production.” * The value of raw 
materials, and auxiliary substances such as fuel, 
pass immediately into the value of the product, 
while equipment transfers to the product the 
valvLe which it loses by wear and tear.® The 
value of means of production, in turn, is derived 
from the labour-time which is required to pro- 
duce them, and “ means of production supplied 
by Nature without human assistance, such as 
land, wind, water, metals in situ, and timber in 
virgin forests ” transfer no value to the product.* 
Thus all value is created by labour. 

Whatever inward meaning the conception of 
value may have had for a student of Hegel, to a 
modem English reader it is purely a matter of 
d efini tion. The valvA of a commodity consists of 
the labour-time required to produce it, including 
the laboim-time required by subsidiary com- 
modities which enter into its production. 

What is the relationship of value to price ? 
At first Marx states dogmatically that com- 
modities tend to exchange at prices which cor- 

» Vol. I, p. I80(«). • Vol. r, p. 185<«). 

»■ Vol. 1, pp. 18B-6<«>. ‘ Vol. I, p. 1860«. 

IS 



AN ESSAY ON l^RXIAN ECONOMICS'. - 

respond to their values (so that the ratio of the 
prices of ' any group of commodities is the same 
as the ratio of their values). “Price is the 
• money-name of the labour realised in a com- 
modity.” ^ Relative prices may differ from 
relative values, as a result of some temporary 
disturbance in the market, “ but these deviations 
are to be considered as infractions of the laws 
of exchange of commodities 

The definition of value has to be stretched and 
strained a good deal in order to make it possible 
for Marx to maintain that prices tend to cor- 
respond to values. To create value, in Marx’s 
system, labour-time must be socially necessary. 
The labour-time socially necessary to produce a 
given output of a commodity may vary for two 
distinct sets of reasons. If a new labour-saving 
process is introduced, the socially necessary 
labour-time embodied in the commodity con- 
cerned is reduced, and its value consequently 
falls.® But demand also influences valve. No 
commodity embodies valve unless there is a 
demand for it, and, where there is over-produc- 
tion of a particular commodity, part of the labour 
embodied in it. turns out not to have been 
necessary to meet the social demand, and the 
average value of the total output of the com- 
modity concerned is consequently reduced.* 
Natural factors of production create no value., 
but it is assumed that the scarcity, for instance, 

1 Vol. I, p. 74<s»>. “ Vol. I,’p. 136P*). •» Vol. I, p. 0<“>. 

* Vol. I, p. 80O'>. Cf. Vol. HI, p. 746<“’>. 

16 



• THE LABOUR THEORY OF VALUE 

of diamonds, increases the labour-time devoted 
to searching for them to a sufficient extent to 
account for their high price.^ Thus the formula- 
tion of Volume I slurs over a number of problems 
which are clearly distinguished in Volume III. 

The main problem, however, Marx does not 
attempt to deal with in Volume I at all. This 
concerns the tendency of the rate of profit to 
equality in different lines of production. In a 
system in which prices correspdhd to valiies the 
net product of equal quantities of labour is sold 
for equal quantities of money. Thus (given 
unif orm money-wage rates) surplus, in terms of 
money, per unit of labour is everywhere equal. 
To say that relative prices correspond to relative 
values is the same thing as to say that the rate 
of exploitation is equal in aU industries. But if 
capital per man employed (the organic composi- 
tion of capital) is different in different industries, 
while profit per man (the rate of exploitation) is 
the same, profit per unit of capital must vary 
inversely with capital per man. It would be 
possible for both the rate of profit and the rate' 
of exploitation to be equal in aU industries only 
if the ratio of capital to labour employed were 
also equal. 

In Volume, I Marx leaves this question open.® 
In Volume III, he shows that capital per man 
varies with technical conditions, while com- 
petition between capitalists tends to establish a 
uniform rate of profit. The rate of exploitation 

' Vol. I, p. T'"’). = Vol. I, p. 293<”>. 


17 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

therefore cannot be uniform, and relative prices 
do not correspond to values.^ - 

Marx entangled himself in an artificial diffi- 
culty by starting from the assumption of a 
uniform rate of exploitation. There is no 
warrant for this assumption. If wages are equal 
in all industries, surplus per man employed (the 
rate of exploitation) varies with net productivity 
per man employed, and, in general, productivity 
per man is greater where capital per' man is 
greater. In Marx’s own words : “ The prevailing 
degree of productive power shows itself in the 
relative preponderance of the constant over the 
variable capital. ... If the capital ia a certain 
sphere of production is of a higher composi- 
tion [than the average] then it expresses a de- 
velopment of the productive power above the 
average.” * Thus the rate of e:!^loitati6n tends 
to vary with capital per man employed. ' 

^ Vol. Ill, p. 185^**^^ In his numerioal example IHIarx cEdculates 
the values of the commodities produced in the different industries 
iinm the average rate of exploiUition in industry as a whole. But 
the prices of the commodities differ from their values in such a way 
as to make tlie rates of exploitation actually enjoyed by tlie 
capitalists in the different industries vary with the organic com* 
position of their capitals. As I see it, the conflict between Volume I 
and Volume HZ is a conflict between mysticism and common sense. 
Li Volume HI common sense triumphs but must srill pay lip-service 
to mysticism in its verbal fonnulations. 

* Vol. Ill, p. 881**'!. In the preface to Volume IH (p. 26) 
Sngels quotes Julius Wolf : A plus in constant capital has for its 
premise a plus in the productive power of the labourers. . . . There- 
fore, if the variable capital remains the same and the constant 
capital increases, suiplus value must also increase.** Engels re- 
pudiates this view with indignation, and declares it to be directly 
contrary to Marx*s theory. But he merely abiwes Wolf, without 
entering into €Uiy argument, and it is impossitle to see wherein 
Wolf’s statement differs from the above statement by Marx. 

18 



THE LABOUR THEORY OF VALUE 

The capitalists can • be relied upon to see 
(apart from errors of judgment and perturbations 
in the market) that they do not increase capital 
per man employed -unless they are assured of a 
corresponding increase in net profit per man 
employed, and the very same process which 
produces an equal rate of profit between in- 
dustries produces unequal rates of exploitation. 

There is no reason why the rate of exploita- 
tion should be treated as either logically or 
historica% prior to the rate of profit. Logic- 
ally, what is important is the total amount of 
surplus which the capitalist system succeeds in 
acquiring for the propertied classes, and there is 
no virtue in dividing that total by the amount 
of labour employed, to find the rate of exploita- 
tion, rather than by the amount of capital, to 
find the rate of profit. Historically, it is natural 
to suppose that different iridustries are developed 
with widely varying rates of exploitation, varying 
rates of profit, and varying ratios of capital to 
labour. The push and puU of competition then 
tends to establish a common rate of profit, so 
that the various rates of exploitation are forced 
to levels wliich offset differences in the ratio 
of capital to labour. The movement from an 
equal rate of exploitation towards an equal 
rate of profit is not a process in the develop- 
ment of capitahsm, but a process in the de- 
velopment of economic analysis, from the 
primitive labour theory of value towards a 
theory of the interaction between relative 
19 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 
demands and relative costs. 

According to Marx’s own argument, the 
labour theory of value fails to provide a theory 
of prices. He used it nevertheless to express 
certain ideas about the nature of the capitalist 
system, and the importance of these ideas in no 
way depends upon the particular terminology in 
which he chose to set them forth. 

First of aU, Marx shows that the develop- 
ment of the capitalist system is founded on the 
existence of a class of workers who have no 
means to live except by selling their labour- 
power, Capitalism first expropriates the peasant 
and the artisan,^ and then exploits their labour. 
The possibility of exploitation depends upon the 
existence of a margin between total net output 
and the subsistence minimum of the workers.* 
If a worker can produce no more in a day than 
he is obliged to eat in a day, he is not a potential 
object of exploitation. This idea is simple, and 
can be expressed in simple language, without any 
apparatus of specialised terminology. But it is 
precisely these simple and fundamental charac- 
teristics of capitalism that are lost sight of in the 
mazes of academic economic analysis. 

Next, Marx uses his analytical apparatus to 
emphasise the view that only labour is product- 
ive.® In itself, this is nothing but a verbal 
point. Land and capital produce no value, for 

» Vol. I, Tart VTTT, “ The So-caUed Primitive Accumulation ”. 

2 Vol. I, p. ; Vol. in. p. 

“ Vol. I, p. 1SS1“1 ; Vol. m, p. 963'*'>. 

20 



THE LABOtTB THEORY OF VALTJE 

value is the product of labour-time. But fertile 
land and efficient machines enhance the pro- 
ductivity of labour in terms of real output, and, 
indeed, “ there is immanent in capital an inclina- 
tion and constant tendency, to heighten the 
productiveness of labour”.* Under capitalism 
“ the productiveness of labour is made to ripen, 
as if in a hot-house”.® 'Rffiether we choose to 
say that capital is productive, or that capital is 
necessary to make labour productive, is not a 
matter of much importance. 

What is important is to say that owning 
capital is not a productive activity. The 
academic economists, by treating capital as pro- 
ductive, used to insinuate the suggestion that 
capitalists deserve well by society and are fully 
justified in di'a\ving income from their property.® 
In the past, a certain superficial plausibility 
could be given to this point of view by treating 
property and enterprise as indistinguishable. 
But this method of confusing the issue is no 
longer efiective. Nowadays the divorce between 
ownership and enterprise is becoming more and 
more complete, and “ the last illusion of the 
capitalist system, to the effect that capital is the 
fruit of one’s o^vn labour and saving, is therebj’^ 
destroyed ”.® , The t3rpical entrepreneur is no 
longer the bold and tireless business man of 
Marshall, or the sly and -rapacious Moneybags 
of Marx, but a mass of inert shareholders, indis- 

> Vol. I, p. 300(“>. * Vol. I, p. G41<”l. 

» or. Vol. I, p. 443«'>. ‘ Vol. in, p. 607<*». 

21 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

tinguishable from rentiers, who employ salaried 
managers to run -their concerns. Nowadays, 
therefore, it seems simple to- say that owning 
property is not productive, without entering into 
any logic-chopping disputes as to whether land 
and capital are productive, and without erecting 
a special analytical apparatus in order to m sh e 
the point. 

Indeed, a language which compels us to say 
that capital (as opposed to ownership of capital) 
is not productive rather obscures the issue. It 
is more cogent to say that capital, and the 
application of science to industry, are immensely 
productive, and that the institutions of private 
property, developing into monopoly, are dele- 
terious precisely because they prevent us from 
having as much capital, and the kind of capital, 
that we need. This view is inherent in Marx’s 
analysis. He foresaw the time when “ the 
monopoly of capital becomes a fetter upon the 
mode of production, which has sprung up and 
flourished along with, and under it. Centralisa- 
tion of the means of production and socialisation 
of labour at last reach a point where they 
become incompatible with their capitalist integu- 
ment.” ^ The substance of Marx’s argument is 
far from being irrelevant to the modem situation, 
but the argument has become incompatible with 
its verbal integument. 

The increasing productive power of labour 
under capitalism gives rise to a serious awkward- 
1 Vol. I, p. 789««>. 

22 ■ 



THE LABOUR THBOB’S OF VALUE 

liess in Marx’s terminology. His method of 
measuring output in terms of vcdm short- 
circuits the index-number problem (though it 
leaves open the problem of assessing labour of 
difEerent degrees of skill in terms of a unit of 
“simple labour”^). But since real output is 
an important concept, the problem must be 
dealt with, and not merely ignored. So long as 
man-hours of labour, of given intensity, are 
constant, the total valiie created per unit of time 
is constant. But, as time goes by, output in 
real terms is increasing. The voZwe of com- 
modities is constantly falling, and, s.o long as 
real wages are constant, the value of labour- 
power is also falling. The purchasing power of a 
given value of variable capital over labour-power 
is therefore increasing. The problem of finding 
a measure of real output — a measure which in 
the nature of the case must contain a certain 
arbitrary element — is not solved by reckoning 
in terms of value, for the rate of exchange 
between value and output is constantly altering." 

The . simplest method of handling Marx’s 
apparatus is to postulate a given money-wage 

^ See above, p. 12. 

^ Mr. Keynes fells into the same error. He suggests that the fact 
that he finds it possible to reckon ou^ut in terms of wage-units is 
somehow connected with the idea that labour is the sole factor of 
production {General Theory of Stnphymentt Interest and Money, 
p. 214). But this has nothing to do with the case. He con reckon in 
wage-units because he is chiefly interested in analysing short-period 
situations, In which capital equipment is given, so that real output 
is correlated with employment. As’ soon as output per man, at a 
given level of employment, begins 'to alter, the wage unit ceases to 
measure real output. 


23 


o 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOanCS 

rate per hour. Then if real hourly wages are con- 
stant, pri ces must also be constant (assuming that 
wage-good prices do not alter relatively to prices 
in general). As the real output from a given 
amount of labour-time increases, a constant rate 
of creation of value (v-t-s) is represented by an 
increasing total of money, and the value of a 
unit of money is falling. The rising rate of ex- 
ploitation is then expressed by a constat v and 
a rising s, in money terms. Alternatively, the 
value, of a unit of money may be taken as constant. 
Money wages and prices are then falling as pro- 
. ductivity increases ; w + « is constant, and the ris- 
ing rate of exploitation is expressed by a faU in v. 

The awkwardness of reckoning in terms of 
value, while commodities and labour-power are 
constantly changing in value, accounts for 'much 
of the obscurity of Marx’s exposition, and none 
of the important ideas which he expresses in 
terms of the concept of value cannot be better 
expressed without it.^ 

But the terminology which Marx employs is 

^ An instructive 'exunple of Marx’s method of argument is his 
treatment of oonuneroe (Vol. HI, chap. 17^®^^). Labour employed in 
selling commodities, in packing and preparing them for the market, 
and in book-keeping, creates no value. It is merely engaged in realis- 
ing value created in industzy. Transport, on the other hand, does 
create value (loo, eit. p. 340). The distinction is clearly important. * 
Industry and transport are necessa^ to society in a sense in which 
the activity of searching for buyers is not, and in the present age of 
advertisement the distinction between production costs and selling 
costs is even more significant than it was in Marx’s own day. But 
Marx creates an - unnecessary puzsde for himself by posing the 
question — What is the source of the wages and profits earned in 
oonunercial enterprise, and how is the commercial capital preserved, 
when no value and no surplus is directly created by commerce ! 

24 



. THE LABOUR THEORY- OR VALUE 

important because of its suggestive power. No 
school of economics has ever used a perfectly 
colourless terminology. Overtones ring in the 
mind of the reader, even if the -writer believes 
himself to be coldly scientific. - Marshall’s use of 
the term waiting provides an example of verbal 
suggestion. He is concerned to show that it is 
necessary for the owners of wealth to receive 
interest, in order to overcome the temptation to 
dissipate their capital in present consumption. 
It would be natural to draw the moral that if 
capitalists have to be bribed to keep their capital 
intact, they ought rather to be expropriated, and 
their capital put into safe keeping for the benefit 
of society. But Marshall, while he regards ab- 
stinence as too strong a term, represents them as 
performing the service of waiting, for which they 
have a right to be rewarded.^ Professor Pigou 
uses the word exploitation, highly charged -with 
opprobrious implications, for the difference be- 
tween real wages under perfectly competitive 

The industrial capitalist is not interested in acquiring value, but in 
acquiring money, or rather purchasing power over commodities and 
labour, and he is prepared to pay the commercial capitalist, and,' 
indirectly, the commercial labour, which assists him to realise his 
surplus — that is, to sell his commodities, The question of the 
amount of value involved is purely formal. If we choose to reckon 
commercial labour as productive, the total value created is so much 
the greater, and the average value of commodities is correspondingly 
greater, eve^thing else remaining the same. It is obviously some- 
what arbitrary where the line is drawn, and the more labour is counted 
as productive the greater the average value of commodities. The 
ohoice as to where to draw the line alTects nothing except the rate 
of exchange between value and money. 

A similar obfuscation of a simple point is to be found in Chap. 46 
of Volume HI on Absolute Ground-Rent ”, 

^ Prindplee of JBconomioef p. 232. See below, p. 64. 

25 



AN ESSAY ON IVIARXIAN ECONOMICS 

conditions and under monopoly, ^ so that the 
reader is unconsciously lulled into the conclusion 
that, as long as competition prevails, labour 
•receives all that it can r^htly claim. A hundred 
instances could be found in academic usage. 

Marx Tvas very much alive to the importance 
of suggestion. He sho'ws how even an alge- 
braical formula is not iimocent of political 
implications. He insists that the rate of 

. exploitation must be -written not — The 

V s+v 

two formulations express precisely the same 
situation, but they imply two different attitudes 

to the capitalist process. The ratio - expresses 

the “ real fact ” of the “ exclusion of the 
labom’er from the product ” of his work, while 

the ratio — — presents the “ false semblance of 

an association, in which labourer and capitalist 
divide the product in proportion to the different 
elements which they respectively contribute 
towards its formation 

Marx’s method of treating profit as “ unpaid 
labour ”, and the whole apparatus of constant 
and variable capital and the rate of exploitation, 
keep insistently before the mind of the reader a 
picture of the capitalist process as a system of 
piracy, preying upon the very life of the workers. 
His terminology derives its force from the moral 

* Mconomics of Welfare, Part III, chap. 14. 

» Vol. I, p. 643»»>. 

26 



THE LABOUR THEORY OF VALUE 

indignation with which it is saturated. 

r hope that it will become clear, in the 
following pages, that no point of substance in 
Marx’s argument depends upon the labour theory 
of value. Voltaire remarked that it is possible 
to kill a flock of sheep by witchcraft if. you give 
them plenty of arsenic at the same time. The 
sheep, in this figure, may well stand for the 
complacent apologists of capitalism ; Marx’s 
penetrating insight and bitter hatred of oppres- 
sion supply the arsenic, while the labour theory 
of value provides the incantations. 


A'ppmdix 

VALUE DSr A SOCIALIST ECONOMY 

While abandoning the view that prices cor- 
respond to values under capitalism, Marx believed 
that, under socialism, the labour theory of value 
would come into its own. “ Only when pro- 
duction will be under the conscious and pre- 
arranged control of society, will society establish . 
a direct relation between the quantity of social 
labour -time employed in the production of 
definite articles and the quantity of the demand 
of society for them. . . . The exchange, or sale, 
of commodities at their value is the rational way, 
the natural law of their equilibrium.” ^ FoUow- 
1 Vol. ni, p. 221<“). 

27 



AN ESSAY ON IHABXIAN ECONOMCS 

ing an example to illustrate differential rent, in 
which 10 quarters of wheat, whose cost, excluding 
■ rent, is 240 shillings, are sold for 600 sln'llingg 
he UTrites : “ If we imagine that the capitalistic 
form of society is ahohshed and society is 
organised as a conscious and systematic associa- 
tion, then those 10 quarters represent a quantity 
of independent labour, which is equal to that 
contained ini 240 shillings. In that case society 
would not buy this product of the soil at two 
and a hah times the labour contained in it. The 
basis of a class of land owners would thus be 
destroyed, Tliis w'ould have the same effect as a 
cheapening of the product to the same amount 
by foreign imports.” ‘ 

“ In the case of socialised production . . . 
the producers may eventually receive paper 
cheques, by means of which they mthdraw from 
the social supply of means of consumption a 
share corresponding to their labour-time.” ‘ 

“ After the abohtion of the capitalist mode of 
production, but with social production , still in 
vogue, the determination of value continues to 
prevail in such a way that the regulation of the 
labour time and the distribution of the social 
labour among the various groups of production, 
also the keeping of accoimts in connection with 
this, become more essential than ever.” ® 

The major point which emerges from these 

‘ Vol. m, p. 773<“>. » Vol. H, p. 

’ Vol. ni, p. 892*“>. Marx also makes Bobinson Crusoe, the 
typical ooonomio planner, keep- his accounts in twins of nverago 
labour^timo. Vol. I, p. ‘ . 

28 



THE LABOUR TipiORY OF VALUE 

passages is that under socialism income from 
propertj' will he abolished and each individual 
will receive a share in the total product corre- 
sponding to his OUT! contribution to it. This 
reflects the substantial meaning of Marx’s 
theory, .which can always be expressed without 
using the concept of value. But these passages 
also imply that, in a rational economic system, 
prices should be made to correspond to the 
values of commodities. 

How would a system work in which prices are 
regulated by values ? Marx regards depreciation 
of capital as entering into the value of output, 
and clearly we must include it, for the object of 
the ideal pricing system is to make the prices of 
commodities correspond to their costs to society, 
and wear and tear of plant is a real cost.‘ 

In the simplest case, therefore, if all incomes 
from surplus are abolished, prices would be 
regulated by wages cost plus depreciation. 

Now a difficulty arises. Suppose that there 
is no private saving in the socialist economy, but 

^ Ono passage (Vol. Ill, pp. SOG-B’’*)) suggesta that Mane did 
not take this view and that ho regarded the correct system as ono in 
which prices ore proportional to labour cost, excluding depreciation 
of equipment. Engels states that this passage wos expanded by 
him from a note in the mannscriptl and perhaps some confusion 
crept in in the process, 

Marx conceives of depreciation as equivalent to wear and tear. 
Depreciation duo to the more passage of time is not a social cost, 
once the investment has been mode, though it must be taken into 
account in planning now investment. Some investment, for instance 
the original lay-out of a railway, has a permanent life, and its use 
involves no social cost at all, after the initial investment. Capital 
of this typo must bo treated, in Marx's system, like land, which adds 
to real output without adding to value. 

29 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

that mYestment in new capital equipment is 
considered desirable* and that free services, 
such as educatiqn, are provided to the com- 
munity. The outlay on investment and free 
services generates purchasing power in excess of 
the cost of consumable output. One method of 
absorbing this excess is to impose an income tax. 
Prices on average would then be equal to costs, 
but spendable income would be less than costs. 
An alternative method is to impose a purchase 
tax, so that prices exceed costs. How should’ 
this tax be assessed ?• If prices are to correspond 
to values^ in Marx’s usual sense, the tax must be 
proportional to wages cost. The situation would 
then be the same as the situation with an equal 
rate of exploitation in’ each industry, the tax, 
which provides for investment and free services, 
appearing as the socialist equivalent of surplus. 
But it would seem much more reasonable (if 
there is no relevant difference between the com- 
modities on the demand side) to make the tax 
equal ad valorem. There is no reason why com- 
modities which happen to require a liigh ratio of 
labour to capital equipment should make a high 
proportional contribution towards investment. 
Other methods of assessing the tax might be 
preferred, but there seems to be no' advantage 
in a system which' makes prices correspond to 
values. 

^ Under a communist system ** society must calcuJate befomhand 
how much labour, means of production, and means of subsistence 
it coa utilise without injury lor such lines of ootivity as, for instance, 
the building of railroads ” (Vol. H, p. 

30 



THE LABOUR THEORY OF VALUE 

In the foregoing argument it has been tacitly 
assumed that each industry works under constant 
returns, so that a given proportional increase in 
outlay produces an equal proportional increase 
in the output of the commodity concerned. 
When this condition is not fulfilled the concept 
of vdhie raises fresh difficulties. Let us elimin- 
ate the other complications by abstracting from 
capital, so that wages are the only cost of 
production, and. by assuming that no taxation 
is necessary to create a fund for investment, and 
then let us consider Marx’s example of producing 
wheat' under conditions of diminishin g returns 
from land. 

The problem has two aspects. The first con- 
cerns the appropriate intensity of cultivation 
of pieces of land which differ m quality. The 
maximum product is obtained by a given number 
of men employed when the marginal productivity 
of labour — the addition to output caused by 
employing an additional man- — is equal on each 
piece of land. It would be wasteful to employ the 
labour in such a way that its average productivity 
is equal, unless average and marginal product- 
ivities happened to be proportional. 

Suppose there are two pieces of land on which 
the conditions shown in the table overleaf obtain. 
Suppose that 25 men are available. To follow 
■the principle of making the value of wheat equal 
on alpha and beta land it would he necessary to 
allocate 15 men to alpha and 10 to beta. The 
total product woiild then be 200, and output per 
31 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS/ 


Men Employed 

Wljoat reduced 

Average Output per JIan 


Alpha Lam 

i 

10 

. 100 

10 

15 . 

120 

8 


BUa Land 

10 

80 

8 

16 

105 

1 


mAn would be 8 on each piece of land. But a 
total product of 205 could be obtained by the 
same men if 15 were allocated to beta and 10 to 
alpha. The average ■ product would then be 
greater on alpha than on beta, and the two lots 
of wheat would differ in value. Once more the 
criterion of value fails to give the best results. 

The second aspect of the problem concerns 
the pricing of the wheat. In Marx’s example, 
quoted above, the. marginal cost of a quarter of 
Avheat, when’ 10 quarters are produced, is 60 
shillings, and the average cost is 24 shillings. It 
Avould be possible to sell the Avheat at 24 sliillings 
a quarter, and Marx suggests that this is the 
correct policy. But it wquld be more reasonable 
to argue thus; tliis product yields a surplus,’ 
above its labour cost, of 360 slnUings, when it is 
sold at marginal cost. What is the beat use to 
which this surplus can be put ? To subsidise 
Avheat prices might be the right answer. But, 
even if wheat ought to be subsidised, there is no 
particular reason why the best rate of subsidy 
should be that which just compensates for the 
difference between marginal and average cost. 

32 




• THE LABOtTR THEORY OE VALUE 

A smaller or greater rate of subsidy migbt be 
preferable. , And some other commodity or some 
different purpose, such as educational services, 
might have a stronger claim to be subsidied. It 
would be an. unlikely accident that selling the 
wheat at its average cost would yield the best 
results. 

In general, to follow the criterion of value 
would lead to avoidable waste and a mal- 
distribution of social r^ources between different 
uses, and the concept of value has no more 
application in the economics of socialism than it 
has in the economics of the capitalist system. 



CHAPTER 4 


THE LONG-PERIOD THEORY 
OE EMPLOYMENT 


For the most part, Mars conducts his argument 
upon the assumption that there is no problem 
of the inducement to capitalists to invest in real 
capital : “ Accumulate, accumulate ! That is. 
Moses and the prophets.” ^ The capitalists are 
not particularly interested in enjoying lusurious 
expenditure ; ® they are interested in acquiring 
more capital, and so long as they have some 
profits to invest, thej' can be relied upon to 
invest them, irrespective of the prospect of 
profit or the rate of interest.® Thus, in the main 
argument, the problem of effective demand does 
not arise. This problem is treated separately by 
Marx, as the problem of “realising surplus value”, . 
and his treatment of it is discussed below.® 

The problem of unemployment exists, how- 
ever, even when the problem of effective demand 

^ Vol. I, p. 606t®®>. * Vol. m, p. 285<">. 

* At one point Marx speaks of a fall in profits reducing accumula- 
tion “ because the stimult^ of gain is blunted ” (Vol, I, p, 633**®^). 
But the idea is not followed out, and the rest of the argument is 
consistent with tlie fall in accumulation being due merely to tlie 
fact that there is leas profit available to ’be invested. * 

* See Chapter 6. 


34 



THE LONG-PERIOD THEORY OF EMPLOYMENT 

is ruled out. The amount of employment, at any 
moment, depends upon the amount of capital 
in existence and the technique of production. 
As time goes by, capital accumulates' and the 
amount of employment tends to increase. Avail- 
able labour also increases, with the natural 
increase of population and udth the advance of 
capitalism into fresh spheres, which pours into 
the labour market a stream of peasants and 
artisans deprived of their means of livelihood. 
There is normally a fringe of unemployed workers 
— the reserve army of labour ^ — and the limit 
to output is set by full capacity of capital equip- 
ment, not by full employment of labour. 

In these circumstances, the level of real 
Avages is determined by the bargaining power of 
capitalists as a class and workers as a class. So 
long as ihe workers do not combine they are 
helpless, and must take what they can get.® 
Wages therefore tend to be depressed to the 
lower limit set by subsistence level.® 

* Vol. I, p. 643 a » Vol. I, p. 

3 Marx’s first formulation of the theory of wages is purely dog* 
matfc. Labour*power, like other commodities, tends to be sold at 
its value, and the value of labour-power is the labour-time necessary 
to produce the means of subsistence of the workers, end of the 
children who wiU replace them (Vbl. I, pp. 14D-62^^1}. This subsistence 
level contains a historical and moral element ”, since it partly 
depends upon the habits and degree of comfort in which the class 
of free labourers hoa been formed ”, that is, upon the standard of 
life obtaining before capitalism di^ossesses the peasants and turns 
them into free labourers This treatment of the determination 
of wages, like the dogmatic treatment of prices, is gradually aban- 
doned as the argument develops. The value of labour (subsistence 
wages] does not determine the level of wages, but merely describes 
the limit below which wages cannot lie for long without reducing 

35 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

Even when wages are at rock-bottom the 
capitalists still endeavour to squeeze more profit 
out of the workers, by lengthening the working 
day.i screwing up the intensity of work,= and 
drawing women and children into industry. 
There is a lower ‘limit, set by starvation level, to 
the real earnings of a family, but the amount of 
work which the family is forced to do to earn 
those wages can be increased by these devices.® 

This process of extravagant exploitation leads 
to a reaction. ■ The health of the workers is 
. undermined and the supply of future generations 
threatened. Enlightened self-interest then com- 
pels the capitalists to submit, though reluctantly, 
to labour legislation, which curbs their own 
excessive greed. Faotory'Acts limit the working 
day and improve conditions of labour, and wages 
are prevented from falling below Subsistence 
level.® 

The helpless situation of the workers is due 
to the industrial reserve army. So long as there 
is unemployment their bargaining power is 
chronically weak. The accumulation of capital, 
however, is going on all the time, and at some 

the labour-power of the workera and bo threotOTing to destroy the 
basis of exploitation^ 

' Marx’s reference to a “ historic^ and moral ” element in the de^r- 
mination of subsistence wages is often interpreted to mesn that the 
vahxt of labour tends to rise, as capitalism develops* with the 
customary standard of life. I find no warrant for this inteipretatioii* 
And, if it were adopted, it would reduce Marx’s argument to circu- 
larity, for it would mean that the level of real wages detennines 
the value of labour-power. 

1 VoL I, p. ‘ ’Yol. I,.p. 407<«", 

3 Vol. I, p. 392<">. '* Yol. I, p. 


36 



THE LONG-PEBIOD THEORY OF EMPLOYMENT 

periods the stock of capital, which governs the 
amount of employment offered, catches up upon 
the supply of labom. Their bargaining position 
is then strong and real wages tend to rise. 
Profits consequently fall, and the rate of accumu- . 
lation is slowed up relatively to the growth of 
population, so that the reserve army grows again.^ • 
Meanwhile, the capitalist system, which cannot 
tolerate low profits, reacts by adopting new 
techniques which economise labour.® Under the 
stimulus of high wages labour-saving inventions 
are made, so that a given amount of capital 
henceforth offers less emploj^ment. The reserve 
army of labour is thus further recruited by 
technological unemployment. Moreover, there is 
a fresh motive for extending capitalism into new 
spheres, and finding new labour to exploit. Tire 
temporary- bargaining strength of the workers is 
destroyed by these means, and real wages faU 
again.® 

• Thus over the long run wages are regulated 
by the expansion and contraction of the reserve 
army.* The situation which Marx considers most 
favourable to a rise in wages is an increase in the 
stock of capital without any change in technical 
methods or in the ratio of capital to labour. 
Employment per unit of capital is then constant, 
and as capital expands employment increases 

> Vol. I, p. eaiP"). ' Vol. I, p. 643(«\ 

* Mars regards the fall and rise m the reserve army of labour as 
being of the same nature as the trade cycle (Vol. I, p. 6471’®!) ; this 
point is discussed below, p. 102. 

‘ Vol. I, p. 661<">. 


37 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMCS 

and nnemployment falls, so that the scales are 
gradually tipped in favour of labour.* Increas- 
ing productivity of labour he does not regard as 
favourable to rising wages. It is associated with 
increasing capital per man, so that a given 
amount of capital offers a falling amount of 
emplojnnent.® Moreover, growing mechanisa- 
tion of industiy destroys the demand for slHIl, 
and reduces the worker to a mere fragment of a 
man,® so that the lower limit to wages is depressed 
to a pure subsistence level, including no margin 
for education.^ 

In one passage Marx admits that a rise in 
productivity may raise real wages so that the , 
workers obtain some share in the achievements 
of technical progress,® but it seems clear that the 
argument of Capital did not lead him to expect 
any appreciable upward trend in the level of 
real wages under capitalism, wliile the Com- 
munist Manifesto presets an actual decline in 
wages with the development of labour-saving 
technique. 

By and large, events have not fulfilled this . 
prediction, and Marx’s argument requires ihodi- 
fication if it is to be brought into line with the 
rise in real wages which has actually occurred in 
modem times. Ma;rx’s contention is that the 
mechanism of the reserve army of labour keeps 
wages within limits which permit the continu- 

» Voi. I, p. 631 "O. * Vol. I, p.- 660<»1. 

> Vol. I, p. 494<”>. • * P- 3C2””- 

» Vol.I,p. 632W>, 

38 



THE LOKG-PERIOD THEORY OF EJIPLOY^KT 

ance.of the capitalist system. An increase in 
productivity raises the upper limit to wages 
tolerable to capitalism. The development of 
trade-union power tends to push wages towards 
that upper limit, while the counteracting force of 
monopoly prevents them from rising above it.^ 
At the same time the incentive to the capitalists 
to react to a rise in real wages by introducing 
labour-saving techniques becomes progressively 
weaker as the proportion of wages cost to capital 
cost falls. 

This modification of Marx’s argument impairs 
the austere simpheity of the original formulation, 
but it does not affect its moral. It is relevant, 
for practical purposes, to compare the average 
standard of hfe at the present time, not with 
what it was in 1848, or with what it was in the 
stone age, but with what it might be now imder 
a more rational economic system.® It is the 
relative, not the absolute, share of laboiu: in total 
output that is important. 

Marx’s theory of wages brings into a clear 
light many points which are often neglected in 
academic economics. But, as soon as the rigid 

^ Marx’s Bcheme tbe growth of population provides another 
counteracting force, ^ce it demands a certain rate of capital 
accumulation if unemploj^ent is to be kept wi^n hounds. 

2 Those modem Marxists who seek to deny that any rise in real 
wages has occurred, or to explain it away as solely due to the expIoitB' 
tion of colonial peoples, play into the hands of the conservative 
trade-union leaders, who look back to their own ragged and bare- 
foot childhood and count up tbe blessings which capitalism has 
brought to the workers. It is unnecessary to meet such arguments 
upon their own ground, since it is easier to cut the ground from under 
their feet. 


39 


D 



AN ESSAY ON SIARXIAN ECONOmcS 

subsistence-level tlieorj^ is abandoned, it pro- 
vides no definite answer to the central question 
— what determines the division of the total 
product between capital and labour ? The rate 
of exploitation, the division of the worldng day 
between paid and unpaid time, the division of 
real output into wage-goods and other goods — r 
these are all merely alternative ways of formu- 
lating the problem of distribution. None pro- • 
vides any clue to finding the answer. 

The rate of profit on capital is simply an 
average sliare in the total of profits which the 
system as a whole is producing. The rate of real 
wages moves, unth the varying fortunes of the 
class struggle, between a lower limit vaguely 
defined in terms of the subsistence level and an 
upper limit which is not defined at all. The rate 
of exploitation, at any moment, is determined by 
the difference betweefa real wages and total out- 
put. But, apart from a general presumption 
that the rate of exploitation^will increase ■with 
increasing produotmty of labom, there is no law 
which governs its movement. The academic 
theory, as we shall see in a moment, is in no 
better case. If there is any^w governing the 
distribution of income betweejf\ classes, it stiff 
remains to be discovered. . \ 


40 



CHAPTER 5 


THE EALLING RATE OF PROFIT 

.It -was a generally accepted tenet in the orthodox 
economics of Marx’s day that there is a long-run 
tendencj' for the rate of profit on capital to fall. 
Marx accepted this view and set himself to 
account for the phenomenon of falling profits. 
His explanation does not turn upon the difficulty 
of realising surplus value — the problem, as we 
now say, of a deficiency of effective demand — 
hut is intended to he valid even when that 
problem does not arise. 

CHu based his explanation upon the rising 
organic composition of capital.^ Capital accumu- 
lation and technical progress do not necessarily 
involve an increase in capital per man employed. 
Inventions may, on balance, reduce capital cost 
per unit of output as much as labour cost, for 
they may improve the efficiency of lahou^ in 
maldngmachines as much as in worldng machines. 
Tliis possihihty Marx allows for. He shows how 
“cheapening the elements of constant capital ” 
offsets the tendency of the organic composition 
of capital to rise.“ (Teclmical progress may also 

^ See above, p. 8. * Vol, HI, p, 276*^**. 


41 



AX ESSAY OX 3L4BXLAX ECOXOJHCS 

reduce the period of turnover of capital good^ 
Chemical processes such as bleaching are speeded 
up, and the development of transport economises 
the stocks vhich it is necessary to hold at each 
stage of production and marketmg.’(^This tends to 
reduce capital per man'emploj’^ed. Ifevertheless, 
ilarx takes the view that there is on balance a 
strong tendency for capital per man to increase 
as time goes by, and this assumption is a natural 
one to make./ 

vilarx’s law of the falling tendency of profits 
then consists simply in the tautolog}^ : when the 
rate of exploitation is constant, the rate of profit 
falls as capital per man increases. Assuming 
constant periods of turnover, so that c-s-n 

measures the stock of capital : ' when - is con- 
stant and - is rising, is falling.® 

This proposition stands out in startling con- 
tradiction to the rest of Marx’s argument. For 
if the rate of exploitation tends to be constant, 
real wages tend to rise as productivity increases. 
Labour receives a constant proportion of an 
increasing total. Marx can only demonstrate & 
falling tendency in profits by abandoning his 
argiunent that real wages tend to be constant. 
This drastic inconsistency he seems to have over- 

1 Eiigels makes these points in n chapter which he supplied to 
fill a gap in the manuscript for Volume HI (chap. 4 , “ The Effect 
of ffae Tum-oTcr on the Rate of Profit 

® See ohore, p- 9. 

3 Vol. m, p. 247««. 


42 



THE FALLING BATE OF PROFIT 


looked, for when he is discussing the falling 
tendency of profits he makes no reference to the 
rising tendency of real wages which it entails. 

Orthodox economic theory also contains a 
law of falling profits. In a given state of know- 
ledge, according to the orthodox argument, out- 
put per man rises less than in proportion to capital 
per man, as capital increases, since a given 
amount of capital will always be used in the most 
efficient way that the ruling technique permits, 
so that additions to capital must be pressed into 
successively less and less productive uses. Thus 
the marginal productivity of capital — the addi- 
tion to output due to a unit increase in the stock 
of capital — falls as capital increases relatively 
to laboim employed. In the orthodox theory 
the rate of profit is governed by the marginal 
productivity of capital, and the rate of profit 
falls as capital per man increases. But in the 
orthodox system, competition among employers 
ensures that real wages are equated to the mar- 
ginal productivity of labour, and the marginal 
productivity of labour rises as capital per man 
increases. Thus a falling tendency in profits 
entails a rising tendency in wages. For the 
orthodox economists this presents no difficulty, 
but for Marx it is a stumbling-block. 

What happens to the rate of profit if real 
wages remain constant ? With constant real 
wages, the rate of profit rises or falls, as capital 
per man increases, according as the ratio of the 
proportionate increase in product to the propor- 
43 



AN ESSAY ON JIABXIAN ECONOJUCS 

tionate increase in capital exceeds or falls short 
of the ratio of profits to product. Suppose that 
the net product is 100 and that profits and wages 
in the first instance are each equal to 50 so that 
the ratio of profit to product is Suppose that 
an increase of capital per man from 100 to 110 
leads to an increase in net product from 100 to 
108. Then wages remain equal to 60 and profits 
rise to 58. Thus a 10 per cent increase in the 
stock of capital leads to a 16 per cent, increase 
in the total of profits, and the -rate of profit on 
capital rises. If the product rose to only 105, 
when capital per man. increased to 110, the rate 
of profit on capital would be constant. With 
any lower ratio of increment of product to incre- 
ment of capital the rate of profit would fall. 

An attempt might be made, on this basis, to 
rescue Marx from his inconsistency by arguing 
that, in a given state of knowledge, the marginal 
productivity of capital must be assumed to fall 
very sharply beyond a certain point. On that 
assumption, accumulation will lead sooner or 
later to a falling rate of profit, even when real 
wages are constant. But it is very unnatural to 
assume given knowledge in a dynarpic system, 
and, certainly, that assumption is alien to Marx’s 
method, fOTr in bis scheme, an increase in the 
ratio of capital to labour can only occur as a 
result of what, in the academic scheme, would be 
regarded as a change in . techmcal knowledge.^ 
If knowledge ' develops .as capital accumulates, 

* Sfee above, p. 10. 

^ 44 



THE FALLING BATE OF PROFIT 

there need be no tendency to diminishing returns, 
and uath constant returns there can he no 
tendency for the rate of profit to fall (always 
assuming that the problem of effective demand 
is ruled out). The most that we can say is that 
periods of falling profits may occur when capi^tal 
per man increases very rapidly relatively to the 
rate of advance in technical knowledge. In 
Marx’s view, however, technical knowledge is 
not an independent factor, and when accumula- 
tion is rapid a strong stimulus is applied to 
labour-saving invention. 

Moreover, the whole apparatus of the theoiy 
of mkie is designed to exclude the notion of 
attributing productivity to capital, and allows 
no room for the concept of the marginal pro- 
ductivity of a particular factor. A theory of 
falling profits based on the falling marginal pro- 
ductivity of capital would he something quite 
different from Marx’s theory. 

Marx’s theoij^ as we have seen, rests on the 
assumption of. a constant rate of exploitation. 
Certain causes which may lead to a rise in the 
rate of exploitation he treats as offsetting 
tendencies..^ Hours of work may he lengthened 
(with a constant daily wage) and the intensity 
of work may be increased, for instance by 
speeding up machines.® Real wages may he 
reduced,® or an increasing amount of labour 
may be employed in direct services, where both 

» Vol. in, chap. * Loe. cU. p. 273<«'. 

=> Lob. Bit. p. 270<“). 

45 



AKT ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

capital per man and real wages are abnormally 
low.i To these tendencies, which all help to raise 
the rate of exploitation, there are obvious limits, 
and Marx argues that they cannot be sufficiently 
strong to offset the falling tendency of the rate 
of profit. This may be readily admitted. But 
the rise in the rate of exploitation which comes 
about through a "rise in productivity, with con- 
stant hours and intensity of work, and constant 
real wages, is not limited in ' the same , way. 
Productivity may rise without limit, and, if 
real wages are constant, the rate of ^exploitation 
rises with it, Marx appears to have been in some 
confusion. upon this point, for when he.begins to 
discuss the effect of a rise, in productivity on 
the rate of exploitation, he switches over in the 
, middle of the argument to discussing the effect 
of changing the length of the Avorking day.” . 

The trouble probably arose, like most of the 
obscurities in Marx’s argument, from his method 
of reckonmg in terms of value. With given. 

^ Jjoc, dU pp, 277-8***\ My analysis of "Disguised TJnemploy- 
ment” {Essays in Iht Theory of £mpfoi/ff»eM^)bearB&olo8e resemblance 
to this argument. 

2 Vol. m, p. 280^»>: “ To the extent that the development of 
the productive power reduces the paid portion of the employed 
labour, it raises the B\irpluB-va!ue by raising its rate ; but to the 
extent that it reduces the total mass of labour employed by a certain 
capital, it reduces the factor of numbers with which the rate of 
Buiplus-value is multiplied in'ordw to calculate its nonsa. Two 
labourers, each working 12 hours daily, cannot produce the same 
mass of surplus-value as 24 labourers each working oiity 2 hours, 
even if they could live on air and did not have to work for them- 
sel^s at all. - In this reject, then,' the compensation of the reduction 
in the number of laboi^ra by means of an intensification of exploita- 
tion has certain impassable limits. It may, for this reason, check 
the fall of the rate of profit^ but cannot prevent it entirely," 

46 



THE FALLING BATE OF PKOFIT 

labour-time, of given intensity, the rate of mine, 
created is constant. Thus v + s is constant. It 


might seem-, at the first glance, that ^ ean rise 

only if wages fall. But this is an illusion. An 
increase hi productmty reduces the value of 


commodities, and the value of labour-power, with 
constant real wages. Thus v falls towards zero, 


and - rises towards infinity, and aU the time real 

wages are constant. Alternatively, it might be 
argued that Marx was unconsciously assuming 
that increasing productivity does not affect the 
wage -good industries, so- that constant real 
wages are compatible with a constant rate of 
exploitation. But, however we interpret it, 
Marx’s argument fails to establish a presumption 
that the rate of profit tends to fall, when the 
problem of effective demand is left out of account. 

His argument leads him to suppose that a 
. situation might arise in which the total of profits 
remains constant, while capital continues to 
accumulate. This he describes as an absolute 
over-production of capital.^ If the total of 
profits is constant, jiew capital can obtain a 
share only at the expense of old capital. Cut- 
throat competition between capitalists sets in, 
and part of the capital is forced to “ lie fallow 
Mr. Kalecki’s analysis of the top of a boom® 
bears a certain resemblance to this picture. In 


1 Vol. m, pp. 294-300(“>. ' L<w. P- 295. 

* Essays in ths Theory of Economic Fluetuaiions, p. 140. 

47 



AN ESSAY ON MABXIAN ECONOMICS 

Mr. Kalecki’s model of the trade cycle the total 
of profits is a function of the rate of investmeat. 
At the turning point of the cycle, the rate of 
investment is constant from one period to the 
next. The total of profits is therefore constant. 
.Bnt the stock of capital is increasing. The rate 
of profit is therefore falling, and it is this fall 
in the rate of profit which pulls the system down 
mto the slump. In Marx’s scheme there is per- 
fect competition, so that part of the capital is 
used to capacity and part hes idle. In llr. 
Kalecki’s scheme there is imperfect competition, 
and the constant total of profit is spread over 
an increasing amount of capital by a general 
decline in the utilisation of capital.^ Apart from . 
this minor difierence, the two arguments appear 
very similar. . . 

]But' the resemblance is superficial, for in 
Mr. Kalecki’s scheme it is the level of effective 
demand which regulates the total of profits, 
while in Marx’s scheme the total of profits is 
unable to increase for some other reason, and, 
as we have seen, Marx fails to make out his case 
that the total of profits is limited, apart from 
effective demand. 

It may seem idle to object to Marx’s argu- 
ment, based on a constant rate of exploitation, 
while at the same time maintaining that the 
assumption bf constant real wages is unrealistic, 
if the rate ok exploitation were in fact constant, 
and if Marx! was right in supposing that tech- 

1 See below, p. 89. 

iS 



THE PALLING BATE OP PEOPIT 
nical progress tends to increase capital per man, 
it might appear that his formula — when ^ is 
c s 

constant and - rising, is falling — would after 

V ^ c+v 

all embody an important truth. But the appear- 

ance is deceptive. For - does not depend solely 

upon technical conditions, but also upon employ- 
ment per unit of capital equipment. It may 
be true that capital per unit of capacity tends 
to increase, but output per unit of capacity is 
highly variable. And it varies, not only between 
boom and slump, but also over the long run. 
There are always booms and slumps, but in 
some periods slumps are deeper and longer than 
in others, so that the average utilisation of 
capital, good years with bad, tends to be less 
in some periods than in others. And, with 
given equipment, the lower is utilisation, the 

greater is -. Thus Marx’s formula merely 

shows that, given profits tend to rise or fall 

with the state of trade. There needs no ghost 
come from the grave to tell us this. 

Tri short, it seems that Marx started ofi on a 
false scent when he supposed that it was possible 
to find a law of profits without taking account 
of the problem of effective demand, and that his 
explanation of the falling tendency of profits 
explains nothing at all. 


49 



CHAPTER 6 


EFFECTIVE DEMAm> - 

So far Tve liave been discussing tliose parts of 
Marx’s argument wMch ignore the problem .of 
effective demand- — wbicb treat, as be puts it, 
of the production of surplus value, as opposed 
to the realisation of surplus value. But he also 
provides the elements of a theory of effective 
demand, and lays the basis for a study of the 
law of motion of capitaUsm quite different from 
the law of the falling tendency of profits. 

Orthodox economics used to eliminate the 
problem of effective demand, and justify the 
assumption of fuU employment, by appealing to 
Say’s Law. This so-called law consists in the 
■ statement that supply creates its own demand, 
so that an increase in output always generates a 
sufficient increase in expenditure, to clear the 
market of the commodities produced. This pro- 
position is re-stated in a more sopliisticated 
form by Marshall when he writes, “ The whole 
of a man’s income is expended in the purchase 
of services and of commodities. ... It is a 
familiar economic axiom that a man purchases 
labour and commodities with that portion of 
60 



EFFECTIVE DESIAND 

his income which he saves just as much as he 
does uith that which he is said to spend.” * If 
this \riew were correct there could be no problem 
of a deficiency of money demand for any output 
that could be produced. Until the orthodox 
axiom was . challenged by Sir. Ke3mes’s theory 
of emploj’^ment, it was not questioned by the 
academic economists. Indeed, it provided the 
principal shibboleth which divided the orthodox 
from heretical theorists such as Hobson and 
Gesell. 

Slarx was not deceived bj' it, “Nothing 
could be more childish than the dogma, that 
because eveiy sale is a purchase, and every 
purchase a sale, therefore the circulation of com- 
modities necessarily implies an equilibrium of 
sales and purchases. ... No one can sell unless 
someone else purchases. But no one is forth- 
with bound to purchase, because he has just 
sold. ... If the split between the sale and the 
purchase become too pronounced, the intimate 
connection between them, their oneness, asserts 
itself by producing — a crisis.” “ 

To anatyse tliis problem Marx devised a 
simple and penetrating argument. He divides 
total output into two groups — capital goods 
and consumption goods.® The output of group 
I, the capital - good industries, consists of 
Cl +Vi +Si, and the output of group II, the 
consumption - good industries, consists of 

* Pure Theory of Domestic Valucsi p. 34. 

* Vol. I, p. * Vol. H, p. 457*“», 



an essay on MARXIAN, economics 


Cs +Vn +Sj. The method can be refined to any 
extent — for h^tance ^oup I can be subdivided, 
into raw materials and equipment, and group 11 
into wage goods, mabdy consumed by workers 
and partly by capitaUsts,- and luxury goods con- 
sumed onl3r by capitalists. But for the mam 
argument a division into two groups is sufiSicient. 

To simplify the analysis klarx confines it m the 
first instance to a system in which there is no 


net investment, so that the whole of output is 
devoted to current consumption and replacement 
of pre-existing capital as it wears out. The whole 
capitalists’ net income, as well as wage-income, 
is then devoted to consumption. Marx regards 


this assumption as a drastic abstraction from 


reality, for in reality the main purpose of the 
capitalists is to apply current surplus to the 


acquisition of new capital. The assumption is 


made solely for purposes of exposition.^ - 

In a system with zero net investment — 
simple reproduction in Marx’s phrase — the 
whole output of group I consists of replacement 
of capital. Thus Cj + + Sj = Ci + Cj. Therefore 

Ui + Si = C2. Tlie output of group 11 is equal to 
wages pltis capitalists’ income. Thus C2+U2+S2 
= (vi+Si) + (vi+Si). Again it follows that 
Ui + Si = Cj. The net output of group I is balanced 
by the replacement of capital in group II.*. 

The first problem which Marx solves by this 
argument is the apparent paradox that total out- 
lay must be equal to total incomes, while in any 


1 Vol. n, p. 466'*u. • VoL n, p. 466<’">.- 


52 



JIFFECXiyE DEMAND 

one industry receipts exceed income-payments 
by the depreciation of capital* This is the 
problem which has caused Major Douglas so. 
much anxiety. Marx shows how the pay- 
ments which represent depreciation from the 
point of view of group TI appear as income for 
group I. 

Next, he shows how even a S3'stem of simple 
reproduction (with zero net investment) is not 
free from the danger of disequilibrium. The 
value of c partly consists of amortisation funds 
attached to long-lived equipment, and these are 
generally allowed to accumulate over a period 
of years and are then expended in a single burst 
when the equipment requires to be renewed. 
If the age-composition of the stock of equipment 
is such that renewals are- required at a steady 
rate, equilibrium is not disturbed. If, however, 
the ages of the macliines are not spread evenly, 
outlay on renewals in some years will exceed, and 
in some years fall short of the amortisation 
funds, and equilibrium will be ruptured. When 
renewals are in excess, Wi + Si - exceeds c^; the 
increase in Vi in turn increases Vt + Sj and boom 
conditions develop. When amortisation funds 
exceed renewals there is a slump.® , “ Unless a 
constant proportion between expiring (and about 
to be renewed) fixed capital and still-continuing 
(merely transferring the value of its depreciation 
to its product) fixed capital is assumed . . . the 

* Vol. n, p. 473^*^^ Soo alflo Marx Angela Correspondence, lefctex 
No. 07. - Vol n, pp. 543.7<»8>. 



AN ESSAY ON MAEXIAN ECONOMICS 

mass of circulating elements [raw materials] to 
be reproduced in one case would remain tbe 
same wlule the mass of fixed elements to be 
reproduced would have increased. Therefore the 
aggregate production of I would have to increase, 
or, there would be a deficit in the reproduction, 
even aside from mpney matters. 

“ In the other case . . . there would be 
either a decrease of the aggregate production of 
I, or a surplus (the same as previouslj' a deficit) 
which could not be converted. into money. . . . 
I must contract its production, which implies a 
crisis for its labourers and capitalists, or produce 
a surplus, which implies, another crisis. Such a 
surplus is not an evil in itself, but.it is an evil 
under the capitalist system of production.” ^ 
Marx suggests that the fact that the trade 
cycle has a period of ten ji-ears may indicate that 
the average length of life of plant is ten years.” 
This view (which he throws out merety as a 
passing hint) cannot be established, for the 
differences in the length of life of various types 
of plant must damp down the cycle of renewals, 
while, variations in net investment swamp it 
altogether, but the idea is interesting -since it 
shows that Marx was on the track of the idea 
that variations in investment are the key to the 
trade cycle.” 

. He shows how investment generates boom 
conditions. “Since elements of productive 

» Vol. n, p. 646-6(”). YoL n, p. 2110*1 

’ Cf. Bobertson, A Study oj Industrial Jhuctuatidns, p. 36. . 

54 



EFFECTIVE DEJIAND 

capital are continually •withdrawn from the 
market and only an equivalent in money is 
thrown on the market in tlieir place, the demand 
, of cash payers for. products increases without 
supplying any elements for pmchase. Hence a 
-rise in prices, of means of production and of 
subsistence. To make matters worse, s^vindling 
operations are always carried on at this time, 
involving a transfer of great capitals, A band 
of speculators, contractors, engineers, la^vyers, 
etc., enrich themselves. They create a strong 
demand for consumption on the market, wages 
rising at the same time. . . In those lines of 
business in which production may be rapidly 
increased, such as manufacture proper, mining, 
etc., the rise in prices causes a sudden expan- 
sion, which is soon followed by a collapse. The. 
same effect is produced in the labour-market, 
where large numbers of the latent relative over- 
population [the reserve army], and even of 
employed labourers, are attracted towards the 
new linos of business,’* * 

Marx emphatically rejects the notion that the ■ 
cycle is a merely monetary phenomenon : “ That 
which appears as a crisis on the money market, 
is in reality an expression of abnormal conditions 
in the process of production and reproduction 
Two further suggestions of great interest are 
made in- the course of the argument. First, that 
boom conditions in the home country lead to 
an excess of imports over exports, while a 

1 Vol. U, p. 302<“>. * Voi; II, p. SOS'"*. 


55 



AN ESSAY ON MANXIAN ECOYOSUCS 

deficiency of home investment may he balanced 
by a surplus of erports;^ second, that gold 
mining, which generates “purchases without 
sales ”, has an effect upon activity sinular -to 
investment.* 

Unfortunately, Marx did not complete the 
manuscripts which deal with net investment 
(reproduction on an enlarged scale) * and this 
part of the work degenerates into a mere jumble 
of notes. The main idea, however, is clear 
enough. Part of the surplus of both group I 
and group H is saved, that is, not expended on 
the products of group II (consumption goods) ; 
Vi + Si then exceeds c,, and must be matched by 
an equivalent outlay on new capital goods out 
of Ss. Saving repres'ents sales without purchases, 
and .can proceed smoothly only if it is ofeet 
b 5 ' equivalent investment — pmnhases without 
sales. ■ Such a balance is possible, as he shows in 
a series of numerical examples, but “ a balance 
is' an accident under the crude conditions of 
[capitalist] production”.* The cause ojE crises 
is to be sought in a lack of balance, which is 
an ever-present threat to the stability of the 
sj'^stem. Iilara does not develop a full theory 
of the trade cycle, or of the long-run movement 
of capitalism, but he points the direction in 
which a theory can be foimd. ' 

1 VoL n, p. 362'*U and p. 546<“). 

* VoL n, p. 549»*>. 

» VoL H, chap. 21, " Acoomulation and Keproduction on an 
EnlaiBod Scale See Engels’ Pieftce, Vol. n, p. 11. 

* Vol. H, p.-S78»“>. 



EFFECTIVE DEMAND 


He rejected the crude under-consumption 
theory current in Ms da3r,^ but his own analysis 
clearly leads to the view that maldistribution 
of consummg power is the root of the trouble. 
Engels found the following note, inserted for 
future elaboration, in the passage (referred to 
above) rvhich describes an investment boom : 
“ Contradiction in the capitahst mode of produc- 
tion : the labourers as buyers of commodities are 
important for the market. But as sellers of 
then* own commodity — ^labour-power — capitalist 
society tends to depress them to the lowest 
price. Eurther contradiction : The epochs in 
Avhich capitalist production exerts aU its forces 
are alwa5's periods of overproduction, because 
the forces of production can never be utilised 
to such a degree that more value is not only 
produced but also realised ; but the sale of com- 
modities, the realisation on the commodity- 
capital, and thus on the surplus value, is limited, 
not b}"^ the consumptive demand of society in 
general, but by the consumptive demand of a 
society in which the majority are poor and must 
always remain poor.” ® 

This note, combined with the equations of 
reproduction, suggests that Marx intended to 
work out a theory on some such lines as this : 
consumption by the workers is hmited by their 
poverty, wMle consumption by the. capitalists is 
limited by the greed for capital wliich causes 
them to accumulate wealth rather than to enjoy 

» Vol. 11, p. 47C 0“>. “ Vol. 11, p. 363<‘“). 


57 



AN ESSAY ON MAKXIAN ECONOMICS 

luxury. The demand for consumption goods 
(the product of group 11) is thus restricted. But 
if the output of the consumption-good industries 
is Umited by the market, the demand for capital 
goods (group I) is in turn restricted, for the 
constant capital of the consumption-good .in- 
dustries will not expand fast enough to absorb 
the potential output of the capital-good in- 
dustries. ■ Thus the distribution' of income, 
between wages and surplus, is such as to set up 
a chronic tendency for a lack of balance' between 
the two groups of industries. 

Some hints of this line of thought are to be 
found in Volume III. “ The conditions of direct 
exploitation and those of the realising of surplus- 
value are not identical They are separated' 
logically as weU as bj’’ time and space. The first 
are only limited by the productive power of 
society, .the last by the proportional relations of 
the various lines of production and the con- 
. suming power of society.- This last-named power 
is not determined either by the absolute product- 
ive power nor by the absolute consuming power, 
but by the consuming power based on antagon- 
istic conditions of distribution, which reduce the 
consumption of the great mass of the population 
to a variable minimum -within more or less 
narrow limits. The consuming power is further- 
more restricted by the tendency to accumulation, 
the greed for an expansion of capital. . . .To' 
the extent that the productive power develops, 
it finds itself at variance with the narrow basis 
58 



EFPECrnrE DEMAND 

on -which the conditions of consumption rest.” * 
■“ The last cause of all real crises always remains 
the poverty and restricted consumption of the 
masses as compared to the tendency of capitalist 
production to develop the productive forces in 
such a -way, that only the absolute power.of con- 
smnption of the entire society would be their 
limit.” ® ■ 

To work out a theory on these lines it is 
necessary to deal -with the problem of the induce- 
ment to invest. If capitalists were always pre- 
pared to invest their surplus in capital goods, 
■without regard to the prospect of profit, the out- 
put of capital goods would fill the gap between 
consumption and maximum potential output. 
The balance between the two groups of industries 
would he self-adjusting, and crises would not 
occur, however -wretched the level of consump- 
tion. (Though fluctuations in the reserve army 
of labour, owing to the interplay of capital 
accumulation and technical progress, would not 
be eliminated.) Thus to clinch the argument it is 
necessary to show that investment depends upon 
the rate of profit, and that the rate of profit 
depends, ■ in the last resort, upon consuming 
power. It is necessary, in short, to- supply a 
theory of the rate of profit based on the principle 
of effective demand. 

This Mars fails to do, for he had meanwhile 
worked out his theory of the falling tendency of 
profit, based on the principle of the rising organic 

1 Voi. nr, pp. 286.7<*“>. * Voi. nr, p. 56so”>. 


59 



■ AK ESSAY ON SIAUXIAN ECONOMCS 

composition of capital. In Voiiune HI this 
theorj’^ is inestricahly mixed up mth the under- 
consumption theory, and the tvro lines of thought 
are not brought into any clear relation uith 
each other. The theory of the falling rate of 
profit is a red herring across the trail, and pre- 
vented Marx from running the theory of effective 
demand to earth. 

Marx evidently failed to realise hov much the ' 
orthodox theoi^'^ stands and fafis with Say’s 
Law, and set himself the task of discovering a 
theory of crises which would apply to a world in 
which Saji’s Law was fulfilled, as well as the 
theory which arises when Say’s Law is exploded. 
This dualism implants confusion in Marx’s own 
argument, and, still more, in the arguments of 
his successors. 


60 



CHAPTER 7 


THE ORTHODOX THEORY OF PROFIT 

The most striking difference between Marx and 
the ortkodox economists appears in tlie con- 
ception of surplus. To Marx, depreciation and 
wages are the onlj’’ necessarj’^ costs of production, 
and rent, interest and profit are all subdivisions 
of surplus. In the orthodox S3’^stem, rent of 
land is a surplus, because land is a “free gift 
of nature ”, and would exist just as much if 
no payment were made for it, but interest 
and profits are the necessarj’^ supply price for 
capital, without wliich it would not be forth- 
coming. ' Wages, interest and profit are grouped 
together as “ the reward of human efforts and 
sacrifices”. Thus attention is distracted from 
the distinction between income from work and 
income from property, and a moral justification 
is provided for interest and profit. 

In order to build up a theory based on the 
notion of the supply price of capital, academic 
economics developed a highly artificial method 
of analysis. All relevant conditions except the 
stock of capital — consumers’ demands, the 
supply of labour and of natural resources and 
61 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN BCONOmcS 

Imowledge of technical methods of production 

— are taken as given, and the stock of capital 
is conceived to adjust itself in such a way as to 
establish equilibrium with the given conations. 

The rate of profit earned by a given stock of 
capital is governed by ifes marginal productivity 

— the addition to output caused by making a 
small unit addition to capital. Any given stock 
of capital is conceived to be used in the most 
eflScient manner that existing Imowledge permits. 
It follows from this, as we have seen,^ that an 
increase in capital, relatively to other factors 
of production, leads to. a fall in its marginal 
productivity. The rate of profit thus depends 
upon the relative scarcity of capital, and falls 
as the stock of capital increases. 

In Marx’s system the stock of capital in 
existence at any moment determines the amount- 
of labour employed. In the orthodox system 
full employment of the available labour is 
acliieved, in equilibrium, whatever the stock of 
capital. There are a number of alternative 
ways of producing a given output, with different 
combinations of factors,^ even when the state of 
knowledge is assumed constant, and producers 
are conceived to substitute one factor for another 
in response to changes in their relative prices, 
so that a given output is always produced at 
TtiiTiiTmiTn cost, while consumers substitute one 
commodity for another, so that the maximum 
satisfaction is obtained from a given outlay. 

» Sea p. 43. 

62 



THE ORTHODOX THEORY OF PROFIT ' 

Thus a change in relative factor prices alters 
both the combination of factors used in pro- 
ducing a given commodily and the . relative 
outputs of commodities requiring different com- 
binations of factors. The relative prices of the 
factors of production are conceived to settle, in 
equihbrium, at the level at which all are fully 
employed. 

The principle of ’ substitution plays an im- 
portant, perhaps an exaggerated, part in aca- 
demic economics, and it was one of the main 
refinements of analytical technique introduced 
by the generation which succeeded Marx. By 
him it is completely neglected. He assumes 
that, with given technical knowledge, there is 
only one possible combination of laboiu" with 
capital in each industry, and he pays no atten- 
tion to substitution by consumers. 

This makes his analysis appear somewhat 
primitive. On the other hand, he does pay atten- 
tion to the reaction of changes in the supplies 
of factors on technical knowledge itself. And 
technological imemployment — the reserve army 
of Jaboiu: — is one of the central mecham'sms, 
in his system, which regulates the relative 
earnings of the factors of production. The 
orthodox system treats a change in technical 
knowledge as an arbitrary shift in the position 
of equilibrium. Unemployment, certainly, may 
result from the change ; but it is regarded as 
temporary, and attention is concentrated upon 
the position of equilibrium appropriate to the 
63 



AN ESSAY ON ilANXIAN ECONOMICS 

now teclinique of production’, in which labour 
wiU once more be full}^ employed. Thus in the 
orthodox scheme technological unemployment 
appears hazily at the fringe of a field of vision 
focused on the point of equilibrium, while Marx 
focuses upon the industrial reserve army, and 
.leaves the principle of substitution in the haze. 

These divergences, however, are of minor 
importance compared to the complete difference 
of outlook between Marx ■ and the orthodox 
economists on the question of the supply of 
capital. 

To Marx, the desire to own capital does not 
have to be explained, and, so long as any profit at 
aU is obtainable, the capitahsts not only preserve 
what wealth they have, but accumulate, accumu- 
late. In the orthodox system, owners of wealth 
“ discount the future ”, so that if the return on 
capital falls below a certain level, they feel that 
it is not worth while to continue to own it, and 
devour it in present expenditure. Thus the rate 
of interest is the reward of waiting — the reward 
of not consuming one’s capital,^ while the excess 

^ "Waiting, \rhic}i means owning capital, is sometimes confused 
with saving, w’hich means acquiring capital by refraining from con* 
Burning current income* In the first edition of Marsliall’s Prinotj^cs 
^there is no confusion j ** That surplus benefit which a person gets 
in the long run by postponing enjoyment, and which is measured ' 
by the rate of interest (subject as we have seen to certain conditions), 

. is the reward of waiting* He may have obtained the dejacto possession 
of property by inheritance or by any other means, moral or immoral, 
legal or illegal. But if, having the power to consume that property 
in iimnediate gratifications, lie chooses to put it in such a form as to 
afford him deferred gratifications, then any superiority there may 
be in deferred gratifications over those immediate ones is the reward 
of his waiting. When he lends out the wealth on a secure loan the 

u 



THE OKTHODOX THEORY OF PROFIT 

of profit (net of depreciation) over the interest 
on a secure loan is the reward of nsk-ieanng. 
These together make up the supply price of 
capital, and the stock of capital is in equilibrium, 
tending neither to increase nor dimmish, when 
the rate of profit is equal to the supply price of 
the existing stock of capital. 

Marx’s analysis is too simple, but the orthodox 
theory is too far-fetched. The notion of “ dis- 
counting the future ” is not based upon direct 
observation, but arises from the desire to repre- 
sent owning wealth as a “ sacrifice ”. It is 
logically self-consistent, but has little bearing on 
reality. A full theory of accumulation would- 
no doubt be very complicated, and it is possible 
to argue that “ discounting the future ” should 
play some part in it. But it can easily be seen 
that that part must be a minor one. • For in a 
world in wliicli it was predominant there would 
be no problem of unemployment. As soon as 
unemployment appeared in such a Avorld, it 
would only be necessary to lower the rate of 
interest. Owners of wealth would then increase 
theii’ expenditure (present pleasures being pre- 
ferred at the lower rate of return on waiting), A 

net payment which he received for the nse 6f the wealth may ho 
regarded as affording a numerical meoBure of that reward.” [Foot- 
note] ”« . . it is perhaps best to soy that there ore tliroe factors of 
production, land, labour and the sacrifice involved in waiting ** 
(Book Vn, chap. Vii,' p. 614). Here Marshall clearly regards toaxiing 
as simply owning capital. In lator editions this passage was dropped . 
and vMxiing came' to imply saving. Mr. GuiUebaud has pointed out 
to me that in the seventh edition. Book lY, chap, vii, § 8, p. 233, a 
passage similar to the above occurs in connection with accumulation. 
In that context it becomes extremely obscure. 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOJHCS 

boom in the luxury industries would develop, 
investment to increase their capacity would 
become profitable, and (allowing time for labour 
to move from one industry to another) unem- 
ployment would disappear. Poverty and social 
injustice would remain, but unemployment could 
be no more than a passing accident. 

It would be hard to maintain that this picture 
corresponds to reality, and that all the disasters 
of unemployment are due to some impediment 
which prevents the rate of interest from falling 
fast enough and far enough to fend them off. 
Professor Cassel,^ indeed, has maintained- some- 
thing of the sort. But his argument was directed 
to proving the “ necessity of interest ”, and as 
soon as we transfer it to the context of the ^ 
problem of unemployment, its lack of plausi- 
bility becomes glaringly obvious. . Certainly the 
existence of the rate of interest tends to limit 
the supply of capital (this point will be discussed 
in the next chapter), but the rate of interest can- 
not be identified with the necessary supply price 
of waiting. 

To examine the notion of net profit as the 
supply price of risk-bearing it is necessary to dis- 
tinguish between two ways of usmg the apparatus 
of equilibrium analysis. One method is to take 
the assumption of static conditions literally. If 
demands for commodities, techmques of produc- 
tion and supplies of labour and natural resources 
remain unchanged for long enough to allow the 

* The Nature and Neceasits of Interest, p. 148. 

68 



THE ORTHODOX THEORY OF PROFIT 

stock of capital to be adjusted' to them, static 
equilibrium is established, and, once it is estab- 
lished, nothing alters, and to-day is a mere 
repetition of yesterday. 

In such conditions, all .industries would settle 
do^vn to routine and there would be no scope for 
enterprise and innovation. There would then 
■be no function for the entrepreneur to perform, 
and it is argued, for instance by Wicksell,^ that 
the earnings of the entrepreneur would sink to 
the level of a manager’s salary. Capital would 
earn no more than the rate of interest, and net 
profit would disappear, for if an individual 
“ could obtain a share of the product merely 
in his capacity of entrepreneur . . . everybody 
would rush to obtain such an easily earned 
income But this argument does not hold 
water. The mere fact that an entrepreneur 
performs no useful function is not a sufficient 
guarantee that he receives no income. . If 
publicans took no part whatever in running 
their houses it does not follow that competition 
would eliminate the commission on selling beer, 
for competition is limited by the number of 
licences which the authorities choose to issue. 
In industry, the licence to take part in the 
pursuit of profit consists in owning some capital, 
or commanding some credit, with which to make 
a start. Competition, could eliminate net profit 
only if there was complete freedom of entry into 
industry, and freedom of entry is not entailed 

^ Lectures, Vol. I, p. 126. ^ WickaeU, loc, cit. 


67 



AN ESSAY ON MARXUN ECONOMICS 

tbe postulate^f static conditions. It requires 
either that any in^vidual can borrow indefinite 
amounts of capital, at the ruling rate of interest 
(a situation 'which is certainly not to be found, 
in reality), or that pro.duction can be carried on 
in units. requiring ininute quantities of capital. 
Wieksell’s argument can be plausibly applied to 
some lines, such as cotton weaving or retail trade, 
where the skilled worker has a chance to become 
a small capitalist, though even in these trades 
the threshold of capital is too hi gh for the un- 
skilled worker to cross. But such trades are 
•iioivadays the exception, and even where they 
survive they are retreating before the advance 
of large-scale enterprise. Modern technique, as 
Marx pointed out, fosters the concentration of 
capital, and the level of profits is supported by a 
scarcity of enterprise which is not due to' -the 
real cost of nsh-hearing, but to the scarcity of 
individuals who have anything to risk. 

The property ^qualification for entry into 
industry differs ' considerably between different 
liuBR of activity, and if the static world is 
imagined to contain the same technical methods 
and the. same inequality of wealth as are found 
in reality, its industries must be imagined to 
st^nd in a hierarchy, the level of profits being 
Iiigher where entry is more difficult. Large 
capitals would be found in the trades enjoying 
a high rate of profit, while small capitals would 
be crowded into the low-profit trades. 

•Marx, like Wicksell, neglects the hierarchy of, 
68 ■ ' 



THE OETHODOX THEORY OF PROFIT 


profits and uses tlie simplifying assmnption that 
the rate of profit tends to equality in all lines of 
activity, but in his hands it is a simplification of 
an entirely different order from that employed 
by Wicksell to show that profits are not only 
uniform, but uniformly zero. For Wicksell is 
abstracting from the most characteristic feature 
of the capitalist system, while Marx- is merely 
abstracting from certain differences between one 
industry and another.^ 

^The hierarchy of profits consists of the levels 
of profits, in different industries, which are just 
not high enough to attract new competition. In 
dynamic conditions' profits stand above their 
level in the hierarchy during the period of 
expansion of new industries, and stand below it 
when an industiy is over-expanded relatively to 
demand (a situation which may persist for 
indefinitely long periods, since the level of profits 
at which capital, once invested, is driven, out of 
an industry is often much lower than the level 
at which new competition is attracted in). A 
census of profits, taken at any particular moment, , 
would show many industries out of place in the 
hierarchy, while the average level of profits 
departs from the equilibrium level whenever the 
total stock of capital is changing^ 

The static method of analy^ is legitimate 
when it is used to point out, by contrast, what 
is the behaviour of profit in a dynamicvworld. But 
often it is used rather to suggest that, as net profit 

^ Cf. obove, p. 2. 

69 



AN ESSAY ON MAEXIAN ECONOjncS 

would disappear in equilibrium, it does not verj' 
much matter, and can safely be neglected in the 
analysis of distribution. This kind of argument 
would be beside the point even if it were correct 
on its own ground. For dynamic development, ' 
as Marx clearly saw, is inherent in the capitahst 
system, and a static world would be entirely 
different from the actual world of capitahsm in. 
the most fundamental respects. The analysis of 
static conditions, if taken literally, is no more 
interesting than speculations as to what life 
would be like on the moon. 

Marshall does not fall intp the absurdity of 
taking the static ^sumptions literally. He uses - 
the conception of equilibrium merely .as an 
analytical device. At any ihoment there is a 
certain equilibrium position towards which the 
system is tending, but the position of equilibrium 
shifts faster than the system can move towards 
any one position of equilibrium. Thus un- 
certainty is kept alive and the cost of nsk- 
hearing enters into the equilibrium supply price 
of capital.^' 

This analysis is a somewhat awkward cross 
between static and dynamic theory. But it has 
more serious defects than lack of elegance. In 
Marshall’s system more risky industries require 
a higher equilibrium level of profit than' steady 
industries. This, in itself, is a merit of his theory, 
for it obviously corresponds to something in 

^ Cf. Pigou. Economics of ’WslforCt Appendix I: “Uncertainty- 
bearing as a Factor of Production.” 

70 



THE OETHODOX THEORY OF PROFIT 

reality-. But it obscures the influence upon 
profits of the property qualifications which limit 
entry into industry, and serves to distract atten- 
tion (like Wicksell’s theory, though by a different 
method) from the most essential characteristics 
of the profit system. 

Moreover, the notion of the cost of lisk- 
hearing as an element in the supply price of 
capital is, at best, distressingly vague. Mrst, it 
applies, not to actual profits, but to expected 
profits. In a world which is stable on the whole, 
though uncertain in detail, some definite relation- 
ship between actual present profits and expected 
future profits might be established, but in un- 
settled times the relationship is so complicated 
and erratic as to defy analysis. Any number of 
equally plausible hjqiotheses can be made about 
it, and, indeed, the “reaction on business con- 
fidence ” has become a deus ex machina which 
enables economists to prove whatever they 
please. Second, reluctance to expose wealth to 
risk is essentially subjective, and there is no 
method to discover the laws of its operation, 
except by begging the question, and using the 
actual level of profits to measure the cost of 
risk-bearing. Third, the subjective element in 
the supply price of capital must obviously be 
influenced very much by the past experience of 
capitalists, so that the level of profits which they 
feel to be sufficiently attractive to justify enter- 
prise is largely based on a conventional view of 
what it is reasonable to expect. 

71 ' F 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

But this is not the worst, . Even if we could 
form a clear conception of the equihbrium- rate 
of profit, it would be irrelevant to the actual 
world. The equilibrium rate of profit is that rate 
which induces zero net investment. But over 
the course of history, since the Industrial Revolu- 
tion began, net investment has always been 
going on. The actual rate of profit, therefore, 
good years with bad, has exceeded the equilibrium 
rate. Abnormal profits are the "normal rule. 

Moreover, the experience of the inter-war 
period suggests that the whole competitive 
laisser-faire. system is adapted- to a strong 
upward trend in capital accumulation. If capital 
is not accumulating over the long run, disinvest- 
ment in the slump must offset investment in the 
boom, and to judge by the experience of the 
nineteen-thirties, the competitive system could 
not survive a series of slumps of the magnitude 
induced by negative net investment. Beggar- 
my-neighbour devices and monopoly schemes, 
designed to protect the interests of one country 
or one industry at the expense of the rest, and 
expansionist policies, New. Deals and Experi- 
ments, designed to increase activity on the 
whole, drastically modify the operation of laiss&r 
faire ; while any attempt to limit the depth of 
slumps by reducing "the inequalities of incorne 
must entail still more fundamental changes in 
the profit system. 

The whole apparatus of equilibrium theory " 
therefore seems to be without application to 
72 



THE ORTHODOX THEORY OF PROFIT 

reality. The Marshallian method of analysis is 
based on the analogj^ of the pursuit curve. The 
man on the bicycle is the moving long-period 
position of equilibrium. The short-period situa- 
tion follows the path of the dog running after 
him. But the resources of mathematics fail us 
if the dog is liable to bite through the tjrres of 
the hicj’cle when the man slows domi his pace. 

If the orthodox notion of a definite supply 
price of capital thus disintegrates upon examina- 
tion. we are left vath nothing but Marx’s notion 
that capital is accumulated and maintained be- 
cause it is the nature of capitalists to accumu- 
late. The lack of a clear treatment of the 
inducement to invest is, as we have seen,^ a 
wjsalcness in Ms treatment of crises, but from a 
long-period point of view it may well be that it 
is imimportant, and that any prospective level 
of profit, within very wide limi ts, is sufficient to 
keep the system ru nnin g. ]\Ir. Kejoies puts for- 
ward, though in more kindlj'^ language, the same 
view as Marx : “ Most, probably, of our decisions 
to do something positive, the full consequences 
of wMch will be drawn out over man}"^ days to 
come, can only be taken as a result of animal 
spirits — of a spontaneous urge to action rather 
than inaction, and not as the outcome of a 
weighted average of quantitative benefits multi- 
pHed by quantitative probabilities. Enterprise 
only pretends to itself to be mainly actuated by 
the statements in its own prospectus, however 

» See p. 69. 

73 



Air ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

candid and sincere. Only a little more than an 
expedition to the South Pole, is it based on an 
exact calculation of benefits to come.”^ “ It is 
not necessary . . . that the game should be 
played for such high stakes as at present. Much 
lower stakes udll serve the purpose equally well, 
as soon as the players are accustomed to them.” “ 
Thus, with the notion of the supply price of 
capital, the moral justification of profit as a 
necessarj’’ cost of production disappears, and the 
whole structure of the orthodox apology falls to 
the ground. - 

* General Theory, pp. 161-2. ' Ihii- p. 3M- 


74 



CHAPTER 8 


THE GENERAL THEORY 
OF EMPLOYMENT 

So far we have considered the orthodox theory 
of long -period equilibrium — the theory which 
applies to a situation in which the stock of capital 
is adjusted to circumstances, with zero net 
investment. The process of adjusting the stock 
of capital to any change in circumstances takes 
a long time to work through. It is therefore 
necessary to supplement the long-period theory 
by an analysis of the short-period situation, in 
which the process of accumulation is going on. 

The orthodox short-period theory was never 
very precisely stated,^ but its main outline seems 
to have been as follows: at any moment the 
rate of profit is determined by the marginal pro- 
ductivity of the stock of capital in existencp. 
At the rate of interest corresponding to that rate 
of profit there is a certain rate of saving which 
the community is w illin g to undertake, and it 
is the rate of saving which governs the rate of 
increase in the stock of capital.® 

^ Cf. Keynes, Qemral Theoryt p. 196. 

^ Oil this capital theory of the rate of interest Marshall super- 
imposes a monetary theory, by '^hich an increase in the stock of gold 

76 



A2J ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

The controversies which- have developed in 
recent years around this theory turn on its 
application to the problem of unemployment. 
But in the orthodox scheme the theory of- 
employment scarcely existed, and in its original 
setting the chief use to'-which the argument -was 
put was to justify the unequal distribution of 
income. Unequal distribution is favourable to 
saving, since it concentrates, large incomes in 
the hands of a few individuals who can saturate 
their demands for consumption and accumulate 
wealth -without any uncomfortable tightening of 
the belt. Thus any .assault upon inequahty, for 
instance by heavily progresave taxation, is held 
to be dangerous to society, since it dries up the 
source of capital accumulation and so prevents' 
economic-progress.^ 

This argument is somewhat sophistical, even 
on its own ground. If society is conceived to be 
presented with the choice bet-ween a more and 
less equal distribution of income, -with a correr 
spbndingly lower of higher ra-te of capi-tal accumu- 
lation, it is clear that, by choosing the higher rate 

lowers the rate of interest. But the part played by the stock of gold, 
at any moment, in influencing the level of the rate of interest he 
does not discdss. (“ Evidence before the Gold-Silver Commission ”, 
OMmal Papas, p. 23, p. 38, p. 130). The failure to reduce these 
two theories of the rate of interest to a consistent system has been 
a fruitful source of confusion amongst Marshall’s successors. Cf. 
General Theory, p. 183. 

1 Cf. my "Economist’s Sermon” (Essays). Marshall did not 
take this view, but held, on the contrary, that a measure of re- 
distribution “ made quietly and without disturbance ’ ’ might actually 
promote the growth of material wealth. Principles (seventh edition), 
p. 230. 

7B 



THE GENERAL THEORY OP EMPLOYMENT 

of accumulation, society throws the biurden of 
abstinence, not upon the individuals who actually 
do the saving and enjoy the consequent possession 
of wealth, but upon the individuals whose income 
would have been larger if distribution had been 
more equal. There is therefore a strong presump- 
tion that too great a burden of abstmence ■ndll 
be imposed upon the mass of the population — 
those who ehjoj' the benefit bearing no part of 
the cost. It was, indeed, argued that, in the 
long run, the poor gain from the saving of the 
rich, since accumulation raises productivity and 
the general standard of life. But no one would 
praise the prudence of a man who ruined the- 
health of his children bj"^ starvation in order to 
bequeath a fortune to his grandcliildren. 

Moreover, if society is conceived to tolerate 
inoqualit3'’ in order to promote saving, it is 
obvious that a large part of the higher incomes 
runs to waste in providing the rich mth a 
luxurious standard of life. Unequal distribution 
of income is an excessively uneconomic method 
of getting the necessai3’’ saving done. The argu- 
ment that inequality is justified because it pro- 
motes saving turns inside out, and becomes an 
argument in favour of corporate saving by the 
state combined uith an egalitarian distribution 
of consuming power. 

. But an attack upon the orthodox position 
has recently developed from quite a different 
quarter. Mr. Keynes, in his General Theory of 
Emplmjmenl, Interest amd Money, challenged the 
77 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

view, taken completely for granted in the 
orthodox scheme, that saving promotes accumu- 
lation of capital. 

He points out that the theory that 'the rate 
of saving governs the rate- of accumulation 
depends upon the assumption of full employ- 
ment. If full e'mplojmient is guaranteed, invest-' 
ment in real capital cannot increase unless con- 
sumption declines, so as to release, labour for 
the investment industries. And every decline 
in consumption must he offset by an increase in 
investment to absorb the labour released. The 
rate of investment is then governed b}^ the desire 
of the community to save. But the guarantee 
of full employment is to be found in the orthodox 
theory, not in the actual working of the capitalist 
sjfstem. A theory which leaves no room for 
unemplojunent cannot claim to be relevant to 
the modern world, even if it was relevant (which 
is disputable) to an earlier stage in the develop- 
ment of capitalism. 

In Mr. Ke3Ties’s scheme the rate of invest- 
ment depends, not upon the amount of saving 
which the community wishes to perform, but 
upon the view which the entrepreneurs take of 
the profitability of new capital, compared to the 
rate of interest which they have to pay on 
borrowed funds. When entrepreneurs decide, 
for whatever reason, to increase the rate of 
investment, activity is increased and income 
consequently rises. An increase in income 
normally leads to an increase in consumption by 
78 



THE GENERAL THEORY OF EJIPLOYMENT 

-the commimity whicli is less, than the initial 
increase in income, so that saving rises with 
income. It is the- rate of investment which 
governs the rate of saving, and not vice versa. 
An increase in the desire to save shows itself, in 
the first instance, in a reduction in outlay on 
consumption goods. This reduces income, so 
that the increased saving fails to materialise. 
At the same time the profitability of the con- 
sumption-good industries is reduced, so that the 
rate of investment is more likely to decline than 
to increase. In short, saving, though it is a 
necessarj’^ condition for capital accumulation, is 
not a sufficient condition. 

This argument is in linewith Marx’s analysis of 
reproduction in terms of the balance between the 
consumption-good and capital-good indufetries, 
and develops the theory for wliich he laid the 
foundation. In particular, Marx’s contention 
that the excess of surplus value over capitalists’ 
consumption (the rate of saving) is limited by 
the sum of outlay on new capital goods (home 
investment), the excess of exports over imports 
(foreign investment) and production of gold,^ is 
reinforced by Mr. Kejmes’s argument. Many 
refinements and complications (for ‘instance, the 
effect of working-class saving, of unemployment 
pay and of government borrowing), neglected by 
Marx, are elaborated in the Keynesian theory, 
hut the main outline. is clearly to be seen in 
Marx’s analysis of. investment as “ purchases 

> See above, p. 56. 

79 



AN ESSAY ON MAEXIAN ECONOJIICS 

without sales ”, and saving -as “ sales without ' 
purchases 

The consequences of Mr. Keynes’s attack 
upon orthodoxy are very far-reaching. - First, 
it cuts the ground from under, the pretended 
justification of inequality, and allows us to see' 
the monstrous absurdity of our social system 
with a fresh eye. 

Next, it shows that there is no automatic 
self-adjusting mechanism in the laisser-faire 
system Avhich tends to preserve full employment. 
According to one strand of thought, m the ortho- 
dox doctrine, this mechanism is provided by the 
free play of bargaining in the labour market. 
Any individual can always get work by offering 
himself at a lower wage than that ruling in the 
market; wages measure the iimtilityol labour^ 
and if the workers as a whole choose to stand 
out for a level, of wages at which they are not 
all employed, the consequent unemployment is 
“ voluntarjf ”, and cannot be regarded, properly 
speaking, as unemployment at all,'“ . This argu- 
ment, in Mr. Keynes’s view, is based on the 
fallacy of composition. It does not follow that, 
because anjf individual can obtain employment 
by cutting AVages, the workers as a whole are 
able to do so. This question is discussed in 
Chapter 10 beloAV. 

According to a second strand in the orthodox 
doctrine a self-righting mechanism is provided by 
the rate of interest. At anj'^ moment there is a 

1 Of. abovo, p. 2. \ ’ General Thconj, p. 16- 

80 ■ ■ 



THE GENERAL T H EORY OE EMPLOYMENT 

certain gap ]between the total income corre- 
sponding to full employment and the total of 
consumption. If full employment is to be 
achieved, this gap must be filled by investment.' 
In the orthodox scheme, the rate of interest is 
determined by the interaction of the supply of 
saving coming from the community with the 
demand for saving coming from the entre- 
preneurs making investment, so that the rate of 
interest tends to find the level at which entre- 
preneurs ai'e willing to undertake a sufficient rate 
of investment to fill the gap. But Mr. Keynes 
shows that, if the rate of interest fails to balance 
investment with saving, in such a way as to give 
full employment, saving will be balanced to 
investment by the failure of activity to reach 
the level of full employment. Thus the process 
of equalising saving with investment does not 
provide any guarantee of full employment. 

The orthodox theory is trying to solve two 
variables with only one equation. Mr. Keynes 
supplies the missing equation by showing how 
the rate of interest depends upon the supply and 
demand for money. Though Marx pays no atten- 
tion to the monetary analysis of the rate of 
■interest it is not incompatible with his system. 
He opposed to the orthodox “ Quantity Theory 
of Money ” (the theory that the level of prices 
tends to vary with the quantity of money in 
circulation) the view that the quantity of money 
in circulation is determined by the demand for 
it — that is by business habits, the state of 
81 



AU ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOmCS 

activity and tlie level of prices.'^ The difference 
between the quantity of money in 'circulation 
and the quantity in existence is aibsorbed in 
hoards When the demand for money in 
circulation increases, hoards are reduced.® In 
this Mr. Keynes agrees exactly -with Marx. 
According to Mr. Keyes’s analysis a rise in the 
demand for money in the active circulation 
raises the rate of interest, and so induces owners 
of wealth who were holding money to transfer 
into interest-bearing securities, thus releasing 
part of their hoards of money for the active 
circulation. 

Marx does, not discuss the relationship between 
hoarding and the rate bf interest. He regards 
interest merely as a mechanism by which surplus 
is shared between the rentier and the active 
capitalist. In his view, it is impossible to make 
any generalisation about the behaviour of the 
rate of interest ® — it is arbitrarily determined 
by the push and puU of bargaining strength 
between lenders and borrowers — and he attaches 
no importance to its reaction upon other factors 
in economic life. 

In general, according to Mr. Keynes, the rate 
of interest tends to fall when activity is low, and 
the demand for money in the active circulation 
is reduced. It thus tends to reduce the induce- 
ment to -save and increase the inducement to 
invest when employment falls off. Conversely 

* Vol. I, pp. 92-9<“‘>. ° Vol. I, p. lliw>. 

a Vol. ni, p. 426n'"'. 



THE GENERAL THEORY OF EMPLOYMENT 

it tends to rise when activity is high. Thus some 
force still remains in the orthodox theory of the 
rate of interest as a regulator of the -economic 
system.^ On this basis a new defence of the 
orthodox position has been erected which amal- 
^mates the two lines of thought referred to 
above. So long as there is unemployment, on 
this view, money wages tend to fall, and the 
fall in wages reduces the demand for money, and 
so lowers the rate of interest. Thus it is possible 
to find a sense in which it is formally true to 
say that unemployment tends to bring about its 
own cure.® 

But, in general, the modern tendency in 
academic theory is to attach httle importance to 
the influence of the rate of interest on emploj'-- 
ment. On the one hand, it is pointed out that 
the long-term rate of interest appears to vary 
very little with movements in emplo3mient.* On 
the other -hand, even when it does move, its 
influence upon the inducement to invest is con- 
fined to the sphere of housing and public 
utilities, where long-lived capital is faced with a 
comparatively stable demand. In other spheres, 
the obsolescence of plant is so rapid, and demand 
so chancy, that investment will be made only 
when prospective gross returns very much exceed 
the rate of interest, so that even a large proper-' 
tionate. change in the rate of interest has a 

^ Cf. my ’Introduction to Hie Theory oj Brnployment, p. 82. 

^ Cf. Pigou, Money Wages in Kelation to Unemplo 3 mient ”, 
Economic Journal, March 1938, p. 136. 

^ Kalecki, Essayit, p. 114* 


83 



AN ESSAY ON MABXIAN ECONOMICS 

» 

negligible influence on the inducement to invest. 
Thus the rate of interest, though its movements 
teU ia the right direction, is too weak an influence 
adequately to regulate the level of investment. 

The reaction of the rate of interest on the 
inducement to save has always been problem- 
atical. The orthodox theory could stiU be 
partially justified if it were possible to show 
that saving is highly sensitive to changes in the 
rate of interest. But this thread, as. we have 
already seqn, is too weak to support the whole 
weight of the orthodox argument.* 

In the modern academic view, therefore, it 
seems that the importance of the rate of interest 
was very much exaggerated in the traditional 
theory, and that Marx was after all not much at 
fault in neglecting it altogether. 

Mr. Keynes’s criticism of the orthodox theory 
■was primarily concerned with the problem of 
unemployment in its short-period aspect, but 
incidentally it destroys the basis of , the long- 
period theory of the supply price of capital. In 
his scheme, the rate of interest appears as an 
obstacle to accumulation. For a capital good to 
exist, in the laisser-faiffi system, it is necessary 
for it to earn a profit at least’ as great as can be 
obtained- by lending at interest a sum of money 
equal to its cost. Capital must, therefore, remain 
scarce enough to earn the necessary profit, and 
the higher is the rate of interest the scarcer 
capital must be. Thus a high rate of interest 

» See p. 66. 

84 



THE GENERAL THEORY OF EMPLOYMENT 

(for what its influence is worth) not only retards 
accumulation in the short run, but reduces the 
stock of capital in the long run. Mr. Keynes 
perhaps exaggerates the ease with which the 
authorities can control the complex of interest 
rates (though the present experience of a “ three 
per cent, war ” provides a striking confirmation 
of his views), but, in any case, it is clear t>hat the 
lower the authorities succeed in setting the rate 
of interest, the larger the stock of capital is 
likely to be. Thus the notion of the rate of 
interest as an element in the necessary supply 
price of capital is deprived of its foundation. 

The long-period extension of Mr. Kejmes’s 
theory brings the problem of the reserve army of 
labour into the foreground of the picture. The 
propensity to save and the rate of investment 
determine the level of real output, at any moment. 
As time goes by, the productivity of labour 
increases and the amount of employment corre- 
sponding to a given "level output declines. Thus 
the technique of production plays an important 
part in determining the level of employment. 

Knally, Mr. Keynes justifies Marx’s intuition 
that the chronic conflict between productive and 
consumptive power is the root cause of crises. 
The maldistribution of income restricts con- 
sumption, and so increases the rate of invest- 
ment required to maintain prosperity, while at 
the same time it narrows the field of profitable 
investment, by restricting the demand for the 
consumption goods which capital can produce. 

86 



AN ESSAY ON MAEXIAN ECOlJOMICS 

Geographical discoveries and technical inven- 
tions open alternative fields for investment, 
while wars from time to time absorb huge quan- 
tities of capital. Indeed, the survival of the 
capitalist system bears witness to the fact that 
long periods of rapid accumulation can occur. 
But their recurrence is at the best of times 
uncertain, and when the stimulus to investment 
flags, the underlying contradiction between the 
capacity to produce and the capacity to consume 
comes to the surface in waste and misery, which 
become more and more intolerable as their 
causes become more clear. Sir. Keynes’s theory 
gives strong support to Marx’s contention that 
“ the real barrier of capitalist production is 
capital itself 

Marxist economists have on the whole tended 
to gloss over the under-consumption element 
in Marx’s theory,, and Rosa. Luxemburg, who 
developed it most clearly, is generally regarded 
as heretical. Under-consumption theories have 
been associated with an appeal for reform rather 
t,1in.Ti revolution — with the view that capitalism 
might be made to work satisfactorily — and for 
this reason they are uncongenial to the Marxist 
creed. 

The association of under-consumption theory 
with a desire 'to preserve freedom of enterprise 
' and a distaste', for revolution is once more ex- 
emplified in Mi.' Keynes, who regards his own 
theory as mibderately conservative in its 
A vol. in, p. 293«"“). 



THE GENERAL THEORY OF EMPLOYMENT 

implications”,-^ and finds the • philosophy of 
GeseU more sympathetic than the philosophy of 
Marx.® But this association is superficial, for 
the maldistribution of income is quite as deeply 
imbedded in the capitalist system as Marx 
believed the tendency to falling profits to be, 
and cannot be eliminated without drastic changes 
.in the system. It is no harder to argue the case 
for revolution, as opposed to reform, on the basis 
of the analysis in Volume 11 of Capital than on 
the basis of Volume III. 

* General Theory, p. 377. * p- 365. 


87 



CHAPTER 9 


IMPERFECT COaOPETITlON 

The experience of slump conditions in the inter- 
war period, Avhich gave rise to Sir. Kejmes’s 
theory of emplo 5 'ment, also led to drastic modi- 
fications in the orthodox theory of prices. 

The orthodox theory is based upon the 
assumption oi perfect competiiaon. binder per- 
fect competition no individual producer can 
affect the price of his commoditj' by altering his 
rate of output. Each producer is conceived to 
maximise his profits b}"^ producing such a rate 
of output that marginal cost to Jum is. equal 
to price — marginal cost being defined as the 
addition to total costs caused b3’- a small unit 
increase in the rate of output. In the short 
period, with given capital equipment, marginal 
cost is equal to marginal prime-cost — the addi- 
tion to outlaj' on wages, raw materials, power 
and wear and tear entailed bj'^ a small unit 
addition to output. Thus price, at anj'^ moment, 
is equal to marginal prime cost, and the excess 
of receipts over total prime costs, which provides 
for overhead costs and profits, is equal to 
TWfl.r gi na l minus average prime cost, multiplied 
by output. . 



IMPERFECT COIIPETITION 

Now, in the general run of manufacturing 
industry, prime cost begins to rise sharply, as 
output expands, only when the fuU capacity 
output of the plant is approached. It follows 
that, with perfect competition; any firm which 
is working at less than full capacity output must 
be losing the whole of its overhead costs, and 
can have no motive for continuing production.^ 
Thus, under perfect competition the rule must 
be: full- capacity output or no output at all. 
But, in reality, full capacity working is a rarity, 
even in times of average prosperity, while slump 
cpnditions normally lead to a^reduction in the 
rate of output from aU plant, rather than a 
complete cessation of production from some 
plants, side by side Avith full capacity working 
for the rest. It appears therefore that, in 
reality, perfect competition in selling com- 
modities cannot be the rule, and that the excess 
of price over prime cost cannot be accoimted for 
solely by the difference between marginal and 
average, prime cost. 

To meet this difficulty a new type of analysis 
was developed. In this it is assumed that the . 
individual producer is not faced by a price for 
his commodity over which he has no influence, 
but, on the contrary,' that an increase in his out- 
put can be sold only if he lowers his price, or 
undertakes greater selling costs, for advertise- 


^ ‘Iilarshall was aware of this, difSoulty, and to solve it he called 
in imperfect competition under the guise of fear of spoiling the 
market ** {PrincipleSf seventh edition, p. 375}. 

89 



AN ESSAY ON MABXIAN ECONOMCS 

ment and the like. The sacrifice in price 
required to make a small increase in his rate 
of output saleable (neglecting selling costs) is 
represented as depending upon the elasticity of 
demand for his particular product, that is, the 
ratio of the proportionate change in his sales to 
the proportionate change in price. His profits 
are maximised when price is equal to Tnn,rgTnfl.1 

cost multiplied by where c is the elasticity 

of demand for his product. For instance, if e is 
equal to 3 (the proportionate increase in sales 
is three times the proportionate fall in prifce), 
price exceeds marginal cost by 50 per cent. This 
pro^ddes an explanation of the excess of price over 
prime cost which does not depend upon a difiei- 
ence between marginal and average prime cost. 

Imperfection in the labour market has to be . 
considered, as well as imperfection in the market 
for selling commodities. In the orthodox anatysis 
of perfect competition each individual employer 
is conceived to be faced by a given wage rate, 
independent of the amount of labour which he 
• emploj's, since the amoimt of employment he 
offers is too small a proportion of the whole to 
affect the wage rate. He is conceived to offer 
employment up to the pomt at which the mar- 
ginal productivity of labour (the addition to 
value of output made by employing one more 
man) would fall below the wage if any more men 
were employed. Marginal productivity is thus 
equated to the wage. 


00 



IMPEEFECT COMPETITION 

This picture of perfect competition in the 
labour market is even further from reality 
.than perfect competition in selling commodities. 
Where labour is unorganised each employer is 
likely to be faced with a group of workers who 
have few or no alternatives to working for him, 
so that they are obliged to take what wage he 
offers, while to attract labour from further afield 
he would have to offer a higher wage. It is then 
to his interest to proceed upon the principles of 
monopsony (monopoly buying) and confine his 
offer of employment to the workers who can be 
had most cheaply, when due account is taken of 
their efliciency. 

Where collective bargaining is the rule, wages 
are fixed by agreement for the trade as a -whole, 
and each employer may be conceived to take on 
that number of men which will equate marginal 
productivity to the wage, according to the rules 
of competition. But we still have to reckon 
with the over-aH monopsony of employers as a 
class, which is no less important to-day than 
when Adam Smith observed that “ Masters are 
always and everywhere in a sort of tacit, but 
constant and uniform, combination, not to raise 
the wages, of labour above their actual rate • 
The mar g inal productivity of labour to the 
individual employer tends to be greater than the 
wage whenever, in order to press employment 
to the point at which marginal productivity is 
reduced to equality with the wage, it would 

• WeaWi oj Nations, chap. viii. 

91 



AH ESSAY ON MABXIAN ECONOMICS 

be necessary to bid for labour against other 
employers — “a most unpopular action, and a 
sort of reproach to a master among his neigh- 
bours and equals 

According to this analysis, the main influence 
upon the share of labour in the total product 
is the degree of imperfection of competition iu 
selling commodities and in buying labour. At 
each stage of production, from the raw-material 
industry to the retail shop, the seller takes a 
rake-off on prime cost, governed by the elas- 
ticity of demand in that market, and the rake- 
off' at one stage enters into prime cost at the 
next. 

In the market for consumers’ goods a rela- 
tively small number of sellers face a large 
number of buyers, so that the imperfection of 
competition tells in favour of the sellers.’ In the 
labour market the position is reversed. Thus the 
share of labour in total output is ground between 
the upper and the nether millstones of monopoly 
and monopsony. 

This account of the matter bears a close 
resemblance to the theory of Lexis, quoted' by 
Engels in the preface to Volume III of Capital } . 
“ The capitalist sellers, such as tlie producer of 
raw materials, the manufactm’er, the wholesale 
dealer, the retail dealer, all make a profit on 
their transactions, each selling liis product at 
a higher price ' than • the purchase price, each 
adding a certain percentage to the price paid by 

1 Vol. in, pp. 19-20. 

. 92 



niPERFBCT COMPETITION 

him. The labourer alone is unable to raise the 
price of his commodity, he is compelled, by his 
oppressed condition, to sell his labour to the 
capitalist at a price corresponding to its cost of 
production, that is to say, for the means of his 
subsistence. . . . Therefore the capitalist addi- 
tions to the prices strike the labourer with full 
force and result in a transfer of a part of the 
value of the total produce to tlie capitalist class.” 
Engels gives (though grudgingly) his approval 
to tliis formulation which, he says, “ amounts to 
the same thing as the Marxian theory of surplus- 
value ”. Lexis thus provides a bridge between 
Marx and the modern theory. 

But while there is a certain moral affinity 
between the modern theory and Marx’s analysis,^ 
formally they are quite different. For in Marx’s 
scheme under-capacity worldng is impossible and 
the limit to the output of any concern is set, not 
bj' the imperfection of the market, but by. the 
capacity of capital. The modern theory exposes 
many relatively minor defects in capitalism which 

13 curious to observe transmutation of the notion of 
“ exploitation ** which talces place under the influence of the modem 
theory. In the orthodox scheme labour is exploited " when (owing 
to the influence of monopoly) it receives less than the wage wliich 
would rule under perfect competition (see p. 25 above). In Marx's 
scheme labour is exploited to the extent that capital earns a net 
return. In the modem scheme the whole, not on^ of interest and 
net profit, but also of overhead costs, is, in a formal sense, a monopoly 
profit, and therefore, in the orthodox sense, is the result of exploita- 
tion, though some part of it covers necessary costs of production. 
Moral and analytical considerations thus become inextricably con- 
fused. The trouble arises from'attempting to apply the criterion of 
perfect competition to a world in whi(^ it is never found in its pure 
textbook form. 


93 



AJ\ iiJSSAY 03Sr MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

Marx, concentrating on major issues, was con- 
tent to ignore. 

The theory is good enough for purposes of a 
general discussion , of the nature of the system. 
But its foundations are too shaky to hear a 
superstructure of exact analysis. For the econo- 
. 6 , 

niist is a magical formula, hut for the busi- 
ness man the elasticity of demand for his product 
is at best a very vague conception. It can only 
be discovered by trial and error, by instinct or 
by guess-work. Trial and error are dangerous. 
Trial may involve a price-cut which will debauch 
consumers and. “ spoil the market ” by leading 
to resentment when price is raised again. Error 
involves loss. When times are not too bad, the 
business man is content to let well alone. 
Instinct and guess-work probably teach him no 
more than to do the same as other people. The 
• profit margin, or rake-off on prime cost, there- 
fore, probably depends very much upon historical 
accident or upon conventional views among 
business men as to what is reasonable. And any 
conventional pattern of behaviour which estab- 
lishes itself amongst an imperfectly competitive 
group provides a stable result.’ So long as all 
adhere to the same set of conventions each can 
enjoy his share of th6 market, and each can 
imagine that he is acting accordiug to the strict 
rules of. competition, though in fact the group 
as a whole, by unconscious .coUusipn, are impos- 
ing a mild degree of monopoly upon the market. 

94 



BCPERFECT COMPETITION 

The profit margin, however it is determined, 
can always be expressed -in terms of the formula 

— For mstanee, if, m a certain case, price is 

found to be equal to prime cost plus 50 per cent, 
of prime cost,- we may say that the producer 
concerned acts as though he beheved the 
elasticity of demand in his market to be equal 
to 3.’ But, by saying so, we add nothing what- 
ever to our knowledge of how the profit margin 
is determined. 

The foregoing argument applies to the general 
run of more or less competitive industry. 
Wliere outright monopoly rules, or where a 
group of commodities is produced by a few 
powerful firms, there is great scope for indi- 
vidual variations in policy, and it is hard to 
make any generalisation at all as to what 
governs the margin of profit per unit of output. 

All this makes a serious breach in the smooth- 
surface of the orthodox theory of value, and it 
seems that economic science has not yet solved 
its first problem — what determines the price of 
a commodity ? 

In his first statement of the theory of value 
Marshall wrote : “ The great central law of 

economic science ” is that “ producers, each 
governed under the sway of free competition by 
calculations of his own interest, will endeavour 
so to regulate the amount of any commodity 
which- is produced for a given market, during a 
given period, that this amount shah, be just 
95 



AN ESSAY ON MAEXIAN ECONOiUCS ’ 

capable on the average of finding purchasers at 
a remunerative price ”,*■ a remunerative price 
being defined so as to allow for normal profits on 
capital. This statement may be taken to mean 
two quite different things. It may mean that 
each .producer, governed by calculations of his 
own interest, endeavours to maximise the profit, 
at each moment, on his current rate of output, 
by balancing margiaal cost against mar g ina l 
gain. This interpretation has been pursued to 
its logical conclusion bj"^ the modem academic 
economists, and the pursuit, as we have seen, 
has. left us bogged in the conventional profit 
margin. 

The other interpretation is that each producer 
endeavours to fix, not the price which maximises 
his current profit, but the price which will be 
remunerative in the long-run. This at first sight 
seems plausible, but it entirely begs the question 
of normal profits, on which, as we have seen, 
academic economics fails to provide any theory 
which is relevant to the real world. Moreover, 
even if the question of normal profits were settled, 
it would still remain to inquire what level of 
utilisation of equipment is nomal in the long 
run. Generally speaking, the lower the level of 
utilisation, good years with bad, the higher the 
profit margin required to bring in an}?^ given level 
of profits. But the higher the profit margin, other 
things equal, the lower the level of utilisation, 
for, given the expected fluctuations in demand, 

* Pure Theory of Domestic Values, p. 3, 

96 



IMPEBFECT COMPETITION 

the amount of capital seeldng employment in the ' 
industry is governed by the profit margin estab- 
lished in the market. And the amount of capital 
employed infiuences the average utilisation per 
unit of capital. The three determinants, profit 
per unit of output, profit per unit of capital, 
and capital per unit of output, are aU inter- 
dependent, aiid the whole analysis dissolves in a 
haze of douht. 

Marx’s assumption that capital is always used 
to capacity cuts through the tangle. But his 
analysis, as we have seen, yields no more than 
the theory that the share of labour in output 
depends upon bargaining power. The Marxian 
degree of exploitation and the. academic formula 

^ each provides merely a summary method of 

representing the result of all the various forces 
that are at work upon the distribution of the 
product between labour and capital. Neither is 
an independent fprce in itself, and neither yields 
any simple and coherent law of distribution. 

■ Yet an empirical law of distribution is 
better established than most economic general- 
isations. In a wide variety of times and places 
statisticians have found a remarkable constancy 
in the proportionate share of labour in output 
as a whole.^ The variations which both the 
academic economists and Marx would expect a 
priori, .between boom and slump, and over the 

^ The evidence for Great Britain and XJ.S.A. is summarised by 

Kalecki, Essaye, pp. 14>18. 


97 



AN ESSAY OE" MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

long run idtli technical change, fail, to appear 
in the figures. 

The Marxian theory might yield the explana- 
tion that the development of trade-union power 
has been just sufficiently rapid to prevent the 
rate of exploitation from rising with the pro- 
ductivity of labour/ while the academic theory 
suggests that a secular rise in monopoly has been 
just offset by a relative faU in raw-material 
prices.® Both explanations are somewhat lame, 
and the mystery of the constant relative shares 
remains as a reproach to theoretical economics. 

^ Cf. above, p. 39. * Keilecki, Essays, p. 33. 


98 



CHAPTER 10 


REAL AND MONEY WAGES 

Modern developments in academic economics, 
as ire have seen, move away from traditional 
orthodoxy towards Marx. But in one sphere the 
movement has been in the opposite direction. 
On the question of the relationship of changes in 
money wages to changes in real wages, and of 
changes in real wages to changes in employment, 
Marx and the orthodox stand together, opposed 
to the modern theory. 

Generallj’^ spealdng, in the orthodox system, 
it was taken for granted, ivithout much thought, 
that a rise in money-wage rates, brought about 
by a bargain between employers and employed, 
entails a more or less commensurate rise in real- 
wage rates, ^ and that a rise in real wages causes 
a decrease in employment. In any one industry 
the workers obtain a liigher real wage when their 
money wage rises, for even if the product of the 
industry is consumed by the workers, a rise in 
its price, following the rise in its wages cost, will 
make only a small reduction in the purchasing 
power of money, so that the workers in that 

' See Figou, “ Beal and Monej Wage Bates in Relation to 
Unemployment ", Economic Journal, September 1037, p, 405. 

09 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

industry gain, wliile the countervailing loss is 
thinly spread over the rest of the community. 
Again, in a single country, an all-round rise in 
money wages, even if it is accompanied by an 
equivalent rise in home prices, leaves the prices 
of imported goods unchanged in the first instance, 
and so leads to some rise in real wages in the 
home country. The orthodox economists seem 
to have pushed the inquiry no further than this, 
and appear never to have posed the question : 
What happens when there is an all-round rise in 
money wages in a closed system without inter- 
national trade ? 

There is no doubt what their answer ought 
to have been. On the orthodox assumptions of 
perfect competition, marginal prime cost is equal 
to marginal wages cost in a closed system. An- 
equal proportional rise in all money wages must 
therefore lead to the, same proportional rise in 
the level of prices of a given rate of output. It 
follows that, unless something happens to alter 
the rate of output, real wages remain unchanged 
when money wages rise. But -this proposition is 
not to be found in the orthodox -writings. On 
the contra^, it was always assumed that the 
money-wage bargain determines the real "wage, 
and it was not until Mr. Xeynes challenged this 
assumption that any discussion of the problem 
was undertaken at all.* 

1 The oliallonge was taken up by Professor Pigou {The Theory of 
Unemployment, p. 101) but his most recent treatment of the subject 
{Employment and’ Equilibrium) is substantially the same as that of 
Mr. Keynes. - . ' • 

100 



BEAL AND MONEY WAGES 


A rise in real wages was conceived to reduce 
output in the short period (though here the 
argument was excessively vague), while in' the 
long run it was conceived to encourage the sub- 
stitution of capital for labour, and so to- reduce 
employment per unit of output. Thus it was 
held that trade unions, by refusing to accept a 
wage equivalent to the marginal product of the 
total labour force, may cause a part of it to 
be unemployed, and so upset the natural self- 
righting mechanism of the Imsser-faire system, 
which was believed to ensure full employment in 
the absence of interference, 

Marx goes even further than the orthodox 
economists, for he argues explicitly that a rise 
in money wages has no effect upon the general 
level of prices. “ In the case of a general rise of 
wages, the price of the produced commodities 
rises in- lines of business where the variable 
capital predominates, but falls, on the other 
hand, in lines where the constant, or eventually 
the fixed, capital predoihinates.” ^ 

It is essential to Marx’s argument that the 

' Vol. H, p. 393^^"’^ Here Marx is evidently thinking in long- 
period terms. His view is that, when wages rise, prices in the first 
instance remain unchanged (see below, p. 106) so that profits fall by 
the amount by which wages rise. Thus the rate of profit falls most 
in those industries where wages cost is the highest proportion of 
total costs. These industries therefore contract, while industries 
where profits ere relatively raised expand. Prices therefore rise in 
the first group of industries, and fall in the second, until the rate of 
profit is restored to equality throughout industry at a new, lower, 
level. If this interpretation is correct, the whole argument is based 
on «gftiiTnin£ f what it requires to prove. It elaborates the consequences 
of a rise in real wages, but does nothing to show that real wages will 
rise. 


101 



A2f ESSAY ON MABXIAN ECONOMICS 

rise in wages wliicli comes about when the 
reserve army falls low and the bargaining posi- 
tion of the workers is strong should be a rise in 
real wages, not merely a rise in money wages 
offset by a rise in prices. As we have seen,^ he • 
maintains that there is a tendency for the 
reserve army of labour to contract and expand 
cycliclj’-. When the stock of capital is large, 
relatively to the supply of labour, the margin of 
unemplojonent is reduced and wages -rise. The 
rise in wages reduces surplus, and slows up the 
rate of accumulation. Tlhe reserve army (which 
is fed bj'^ the natural increase of popnlatidn and 
by the opening up of new fields for capitalist 
exploitation) then has time to grow, relatively to 
the stock of capital, while labpmr-saving inven- 
tions reduce the amount of employment offered 
by a given stock of capital. Unemployment is 
thus increased, and wages fall again. This cycle 
Marx identifies with the decennial trade cycle.” 

Tliis identification is an error. The crisis of 
the trade cycle is marked by a decline in total 
output, but there is no point in Marx’s cj^cle at 
which output declines. In his scheme the total 
of output is determined by the stock of capital ; 
the' problem of realising surplus does not arise, 
there is no question of a deficiency of effective 
demand, and in this part of Marx’s argument 
Say’s Law holds undisputed sway. When real 
wages- rise, -the rate of accumulation of capital 
(which is governed by the amount of smplus) is 
I Sre p. 37. . - - Yol. I, p. 646<««. 

102 



. REAL ARD MOREY WAGES ' 

slowed up, but the total of output, wage goods 
and capital goods together, does not decline. 
If technique remains unchanged, the total of 
employment also is maintained, though a relative 
increase in available labour is taking place ; 
while, with inventions, a gradual fall in the total 
of employment may take place, as old machines 
are replaced by new ones which require less 
labour to produce a given output. This is some- 
thing quite different from the trade cycle. The 
difference arises because, in Marx’s scheme, the 
decline in the rate of accumulation is due 
to a decline in the fund from which savings are 
made, not from a slackening of the inducement 
to invest.! 

There may be. in reality a cycle of the type 
which Marx analyses. But if so, it must be of 
much longer period than the decennial trade 
cycle (which he himself, in a different context,- 
connects with the rate of investment -), since it 
depends upon changes in the stock of capital, 
and in the composition of the capital stock, and 
these changes must be slow relatively to the 
changes in the rate of investment, which mark 
the trade cycle. The operation of Marx’s long- 
period cycle has not been detected by the 
statisticians, for, if it exists, it is swamped by 

^ Aa was noted above (p. 34, n. 3), Alarx writes in this contest 
** accumulation slackens in consequence of the rise in the price of 
labour, because the stimulus of gain is blunted But this reference 
to the inducement to invest is an aberration from the rest of the 
aigument, and must be regarded as an isolated example of common 
sense breaking in. 

* See above, p. 64. 


103 


E 



■ AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS ' 

the more violent movements of the trade cycle, 
and disturbed by bursts of invention, due to the 
progress of science, as -well as by wars, geo- 
graphical discoveries and other large-scale acci- 
dents, which are not directly connected with the 
scarcity of labour, or which, at any rate, cannot 
be reduced to a simple relationship with it. 

The confusion between this long-run cycle, 
which might be found jn a world subject to Say’s 
Law, and the short-run cycle of effective demand, 
accounts for the ambiguity of Marx’s attitude to 
the problem of under-consumption. Part of the 
time he is accepting Say’s Law and part rejecting 
it. Push in the Say’s Law stop, and effective 
demand is dominant. — the poverty of the 
workers is then seen to be the last cause of aU 
real crises. Does it follow that a crisis would be 
relieved by increasing the consuming power of 
the workers ? PuU out the Say’s Law stop, and 
the answer is no. With a given total output, 
increased real wages means lower profits, and 
lower profits — push back the stop again — 
mean crisis. 

When Marx is concerned to show that a 
change in money wages alters, not the level of 
prices, but the rate of exploitation, he appears 
to contradict his own argument that a rise in 
real, wages must cause a decline in output. 

“ In consequence of a rise in wages, especially 
the demand of the labourers for the necessities 
of life will rise. In a lesser, degree their demand 
for articles of luxury will increase, or the demand 
104 



BEAL AMD MONEY WAGES 

will be . developed for tMngs which did not 
generally belong to the scope of their consump- 
tion. The sudden and increased demand for the 
necessities of life will doubtless raise their prices 
momentarily. As a result, a greater portion of 
the social capital will be invested in the produc- 
tion of the necessaries of life, and a smaller 
portion in the production of articles of luxury, 
since these fall in price on account of the decrease 
in surplus-value and the consequent decrease in 
the demand of the capitalists for these articles. 
And to the extent that the labourers themselves 
buy articles of luxury, the rise in their wages — 
to this degree — does not promote an increase 
in the prices of necessities of life, but simply 
fills the place of the buyers of luxuries. More 
luxuries than before are consumed by labourers, 
and relatively fewer by capitahsts. That is all. 
After some fluctuations, the value of the circu- 
lating commodities is the same as before.” * 
Here there is no reference .to the demand for 
investment goods, but clearly Marx envisages 
investment continuing, to the extent that the 
decline in surplus allows, for he talks of new 
capital being deflected from luxury to wage-good 
industries. To complete the picture, he ought to 
show that the output of capital goods, as weU 
as of luxuries, falls off with the faU in surplus. 
But the fall in capitalist outlay — on luxuries and 
capital goods together — is exactly balanced by 
the increase in workers’ outlay, and there is no 
.» Voi. n, p. ssi'uu. 

105 


• h2 



AN ESSAY ON JIABXIAN ECONOMICS 

suggestion that the rise in real wages reduces the 
total of output. This line of argument is con- 
sistent with his long-run theory of fluctuations 
in the industrial reserve army, precisely because, 
both in this argument and in the theory of the 
reserve army, the problem of effective demand is 
ruled out, and Saji^’s Law is in force. Tor the 
same reason it is inconsistent with the theory 
that a rise in wages precipitates a crisis. 

Marx was aware of the argument that an all- 
round rise in money wages (in a closed system) 
merely raises prices, and leaves real wages un- 
changed. But he provides a very feeble answer 
to it. “If it were in the power of capitalist 
producers to raise the prices of their commodities 
at win, the}'^ could and would do so without 
waiting for a rise in wages.” ^ It would be just 
as convincing to argue that a rise in the price of 
raw cotton has no effect upon the price of yarn. 
Under competitive conditions no one producer 
can raise his price, unless all the rest do the same. 
But if costs are raised for all, aU ca.n raise their 
prices together. Marx goes on : “ The capitalist 
class would Ujbver resist the trade unions, since 
.the capitahsts could alwaj’^s . . . avail them- 
selves of every rise in wages to raise prices much 
higher and thus pocket greater profits.” “ This 
argument neglects the conflict of interests be- 
tween capitahsts. Each benefits by a rise in 
the wages paid by his rivals, and loses by a rise 

> Vol. H, p. 392(‘“>. The same argument is put forward in 
Vuiue, Price and PrqfiL ® Vol. H, p. 392^^^®*. 


106 



REAL AlfD MONEY WAGES 

in the wages which he must pay himself. .Each 
group 'has an interest in resisting the particular 
trade tmion with which it has to bargain, and it 
does not follow from the fact that each separately 
has an interest in low wages that all collectively 
suffer from a rise in wages. 

To a generation brought up under the shadow 
of the “ vicious spiral ” of wages and prices, 
Marx’s ^•iew that a rise in money wages leaves 
prices unchanged appears flatly contrary to 
common sense. It is easy, however, to under- 
stand how he was led to adopt it. The view that 
a rise in wages causes a corresponding rise in 
prices was being used to show that the wage 
bargain cannot influence real wages and that 
consequently “ trade tmions have a harmful 
effect Marx therefore had a strong motive for 
advocating the view that wages do not influence 
prices, and as this was the current orthodox 
opinion, he had no difficulty in accepting it. 

Since his day the position has been reversed. 
In the year 1930 it was the opponents of trade- 
unionism who were mainta ining that the chief 
cause of the slump was the obstinate refusal of 
the workers to accept a cut in wages. H a rise 
in wages does not raise prices, a fall will not 
reduce them. A cut in costs will increase profits, 
and set the wheels of industrial activity revolving 
again. To this view Mr. Keynes opposed the 
argument that a cut in wages would waste itself 
in a fall in prices, and he holds that the trade 

^ Marx EngcU Correspondencej letter 83. 

107 



AN ESSAY ON MABXIAN ECONOMICS 

unions “ are instinctively more reasonable econo- 
- mists tban the classical school ” ^ since they 
resist wage cuts with whatever power slump 
conditions leave at their command. It is impos- 
sible to imagine Mai-x reading the. Addenda to 
the MacnuUan Report on Einance and Industry 
and ^ding Professor. Gregory more sympathetic 
than hir. Keynes. 

But the question cannot he settled by sym- 
pathy, and an exact analj^sis of the effect of 
a change in money wages on employment is 
extremely complicated. Under perfect competi- 
tion an equal proportional change in all wages 
(in a closed system) must lead to the same pro- 
portional change in the level of prices of a given 
output.' But in reality perfect competition does 
. not prevail, and a change in wages may alter the 
ratio of prices to prime costs. Many prices fail 
to react iminediately to a change in wages cost 
and this is generally true of house rents, which 
plaj'^ a very important part in determining the 
real value of the money wage. It seems reason- 
able to suppose, therefore, that a rise' in money 
wages wiU noriha% lead to some rise in real 
wages, at least for a certain time after it ocem’s.“‘ 
■ But the next step in the orthodox argument 
is bjJ^ no means obvious. Wages are more fully 

1 -General Theory, p. 14. 

= The introduotion of trade unions, -where none were before, is 
likely to have an important effect in raising real wagra, by squ»zing 
out monopsony profit. This eSect depends upon the introdnction of 
a “ common rule ” (see above, p. 91. Of. my Economics of Imperfect 
Competition, p. 395). 


lOS 



REAL AND MONEY .WAGES 

spent than profits, and a transfer of purchasing 
power from capitalists to workers stimulates the 
demand for consumption goods and so tends to 
incfease employment.^ It may be argued, against 
this, that the inducement to invest would be 
reduced hy a rise in wages, so that employment 
m the investment-good industries would decline. 
This is likely to he true of house-huilding, where 
an expansion of demand, due to higher real 
wages, is unlikely to offset the effect of higher 
costs, and it may he true of other types of long- 
hved equipment. On the other hand, investment 
in equipment for the wage-good industries is likely 
to be stimulated. 

A further complication is introduced by the 
effect of a rise in prices on the distribution of 
total profits between rentiers and entrepreneurs.® 

A rise of prices reduces the burden of debts 
fixed in terms of money, and this may tend to 
stimulate investment,® On the other hand, 
rentier incomes are more fully spent than net 
profits, which include the corporate savings of 
firms, so that a redistribution of real total profits 
unfavourable to rentiers may tend to restrict 
consumption.* The effect of the redistribution 

^ Cf. Kalecki, EsaaySf p. 84. 

^ Marx habitually treats capitalist as a single class, and smphasiBes 
the conflict between them and the workers. Mr. Keynes's argument • 
reveals a subsidiary conflict between rzntitrs and entr^reneurs, in 
which the workers side with the entrepreneurs. This conflict comes 
clearly to the surface in conditions of hyper*inflation and, to a smaller 
extent, under war-time inflation, when the fixed-income classes suffer 
relatively more than any other section of the community. 

^ See Kalecki, Essays, p. lOG. * Ibid. p. 87. 

100 



AN- ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS ’ 

on employment may tlierefofe tell in either 
direction. 

The argument is thus not very conclusir-e, 
but 'it serves to show, at least, that the view, 
held both by Marx and the orthodox economists, 
that a rise in wages necessarily causes a fall in 
employment, cannot be maintained. 

The relationship between the Keynesian and- 
the M^xian view of wages is curious. Marx, 

. -with the orthodox economists, holds that a rise 
in money wages causes a rise in real wages, and 
that a rise in real wages causes -unemployment. 
Mr, Keynes holds that a rise in money wages has 
little effect upon real wages, but that, a' rise in 
real wages tends to increase employment. Both 
agree that a rise in money wages would be of 
little use at a time of crisis, Marx because he 
holds that it -will raise real wages, Mr. Keynes 
because he holds that it will not. But they 
completely disagree as to the effect of a fall in 
money wages in a crisis, Marx holds that it 
brings temporary relief, and enables expansion 
to be resumed “ within capitalistic limits 
while Mr. Keynes holds that it can do nothing 
but harm. The matter can be finally settled 
only by detailed statistical investigation, but in 
the nineteen-thirties the crude test of experience 
seemed certainly to be on Mr. Keynes’s side, 
and many were then, disillusioned who formerly 
believed in a cut in wages as a cm’e for slump 
conditions. 

» Vol. m, p. 

110 



CHAPTER 11 


DYNAMIC ANALYSIS 

The foregoing argument has left a trail of 
questions to which neither Marx nor the academic 
economists, ancient or modern, provide satis- 
factory answers, and the impression which it 
gives of the present state of economic knowledge 
is not encouraging. It has generally been the 
fate of economic theory to run a losing race 
against the course of history, and never to have 
completed the analysis of one phase of economic 
development before another takes its place. It 
seems Ukely enough that the same fate will be 
fulfilled once more. But, if time allows, the 
questions ought to be answered. 

The outstanding questions may be divided 
into two groups : those wliich concern the ' 
division of the social product, and those which 
concern the size of the product. To the first 
group belongs the question of the profit margin 
on which, as we have seen, modem theory is 
highly agnostic, as well as the complex question of 
the relationship between real and money wages. 

These problems are formidable, but they 
might yield to a combioation of field investiga- 
111 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 

tion and statistical study. The divorce between 
theory. and realistic investigation, which is a 
standing reproach to academic economics, has 
been due in the main to the preoccupation of the 
theorists with propositions about equilibrium 
conditions, on which, in the nature of the ease, 
evidence from the real world can throw no light 
at all. There are already signs that, when the 
theorists begin to ask answerable questions, - 
the ■ statisticians need not despair of firKting 
the answers. 

If the problem of the profit margin could be 
solved, it would isolate one major influence upon 
the distribution of the social income between 
classes, and would prepare the way for an 
investigation of the factors govemnig the rate of ■ 
profit' on caj)ital. It may be, however, that the 
mystei^’' of the constant relative shares will not 
yield to this type of analysis, and that a totally 
new method is required for its solution. 

Questions concerning the total of. output may 
be grouped imder two heads — potential produc- 
tion and eflFective demand. The first is governed 
by the supplies of the factors of production, and 
by technique, • The study of supplies of natural 
resources and of labour involves the whole prob- 
lem of Imperialism, on which the' hints thrmvn 
out by Marx have been elaborated by later 
Marxists, and which requires to be reviewed in 
the light of modern. analysis. .The study of the 
supply of capital involves theoiptical problems 
which impinge .upon each of our unsolved 
112 



DTNiUnC ANALYSIS 


questions. The overthrow of the orthodox 
notion of an equilibrium supply price of capital 
leaves a huge gap in our analj^sis, and it seems 
vain to attempt to fill it -with an alternative 
abstract theory. The problem must rather be 
approached, as SIar.x approached it, in terms of 
histor5'’ — the stock of capital at any moment is 
the result of developments in the immediate and 
the remote past, and the stock of capital in 
existence is an important factor in the deter- 
mination of its omi rate of growd}h. 

Technical Imowlcdge, in academic tlicorj^ is 
usually treated as an arbitrary' datum, but Marx 
is clearly right in arguing that it is largel}' 
influenced by the relationship between the supply 
of labour and the supply of eapital. Here, again, 
an historical approach is the most promising. 
The influence upon technique of factor prices — 
the rate of interest and the level of real wages, 
— elaborated in the orthodox tlieorj^, must also 
be studied by realistic methods. 

Problems of effective demand may be 
examined under the Kejniesian categories of the 
propensity to consume and the inducement to 
invest. On the first, the main influence is the 
distribution of income, but there are other 
elements Jilso in the problem, and the whole 
natural history of consumers’ demand requires 
to be studied. 

The inducement to mvest involves the prob- 
lem of the rate of interest. We need to know, 
first, how the complex of interest rates reacts to 
113 



AN ESSAY ON MABXIAN ECONOMICS 

various circumstances and various policies, and, 
second, ho-w investment reacts to changes in 
interest. The true balance between the orthodox 
exaggeration of the importance of the rate of 
interest, and Marx’s complete neglect of it can 
only be struck by realistic investigation. 

The problem of indebtedness and the relation- 
ship between a concern’s own capital and its 
outside borrowing is also involved in the prob^ 
lem of the inducement to invest, and the legal 
framework and financial practice in various 
countries has an important influence on it. 
Most important of all, the relationship between 
current and expected profit, and the relationship 
■between expected profits and the inducement to 
invest, rhust be established. Here the statis- 
ticians, meet with a formidable difficulty, for an 
increase in the rate of investment both causes 
and is caused by an increase in the rate of profit, 
so that the evidence is hard, perhaps impossible, 
to disentangle. Expectations about the future 
introduce a subjective element into the causation 
of investment which cannot be ruled out, or 
reduced to simple objective terms, and the fact 
that human beings learn from experience (though 
not necessarily aright) means that history itself 
is an influence upon history. The problem of the 
inducement to invest can therefore probably 
never be completely settled. But there is hope 
at least that our ignorance of it can be reduced. 

The theory of short-period fluctuations in 
effective demand, opened up by Mr. Keynes’s 
114 



DYNAJnC ANALYSIS 

General Theory, has already made gi’eat progress. 
Marx was mainly coneemed with long-run 
d3mamic anals^sis, and this field is still largely 
untilled. Orthodojc aeademie anatysis, bound 
up until the concept of equihbrium, makes little 
contribution to it, and the modern tbeoiy Jbas 
not yet gone much be3mnd the confines of the 
short period. Chaiiges over the long run in real 
wages and in the rate of profit, the progress of 
capital accumulation, the growth and decay of 
monopol3'’ and the l^irge-scale reactions of changes 
in technique upon the class structure of society 
all belong to tliis field. 

Marx, however imperfectly he worked out the 
details, set himself the task of discovering the 
law of motion of cs,pitahsm, and if there is any 
hope of progress in economics at all, it must be 
in using academic Uiethods to solve the problems 
posed by Marx. 


115 



REFERENCES TO “CAPITAL” 

(1) Vol. I, ohap. 8. Constant Capital and Variable Capital. 

(2) Vol. I, chap. 9. Tiie Kate of Surplus-Value. . § 1.’ The 

Degree of Exploitation of Labour-Power. 

(3) Vol. Ill, chap. 60. The Semblance of Competition. 

(4) Vol. I, cliap. 8. .Constant Capitol and Variable Copitol. 

(6) Vol. I, chap. 9. The Rate of Surplus-Value. § 1. The 

Degree of Exploitation of Labour-Power. 

(6) Vol. I, chap. 1. Commodities. § 1. The Two Eoctors of 

a Commodity : Use-Value and Volue, 

(7) Vol. I, chap. 9. Tlie_ Kate of Surplus-Value. § 1. Tlie 

Degree of Exploitation of Labour-Power. 

(8) Vol. I, chap. 26. The General Law of Capitalist Accumu- 

lation. 1 1. The Increased Demand for Labour-Power 
that Accompanies Accumulation, the Composition of 
Capital Remaining the Same. 

(9) Vol. HI, chap. 2. The Rate of Profit. 

(10) Vol. 1, chop. 9. The Rate of Sprplus-Volue. § 1. The. 

Degree of Exploitation of Labour-Power. 

(11) Vol. U, chap. 8. Fixed and Circulating Capital. 1 1. 

Distinctions of Form. 

(12) Vol. m, chap. 4. Tlie Effect of the Turn-over on the 

' Bate of Profit. . ■ 

(13) Vol. HI, chap. 16. Unravelling the iitemol Contradic- 

tions of the Law. 1 2. Conflict between the Expansion 
of Production and the Creation of Values. 

(14) Vol. I, chap. 26. The General Law of Copitalist Accumu- 

lation. § 3. Progressive Production of a Relative 
Surplus-Population. 

(16) Vol. HI, chap. 8. Different Composition of Capitals in 
Different Lines of Production and Resulting Differences 
in the Rates of Profit. 

(16) Vol. HI, ohap. 10. Compensation of the Average Rate 

of Profit by Competition. 

(17) Vol. HI, chap. 12. Some After Remarks. § 3. Fluctua- 

tions for which the Capitalist mokes Allowance. 

116 



REFERENCES TO " CAPITAL ” 


(IS) Vol. m, chap. 10. Compensation of the Average Rafe 
of ProBt by Competition. 

(19) Ibid. - 

(20) Ibid. 

(21) Vol. m, diap. 38. Differential Rent. 

(22) Vol. m, chap. 39. The First Form of Differential 

Rent. 

(23) Ibid. 

(24) Ibid. 

(25) Vol. m, chap. 46. The Price of Land. 

(26) Vol. in, chap. 45. Absolute Groimd-Rent. 

(27) Vol. I, chap. 1. Commodities. § 1. The Two Factors of 

a Commodity : Use-Value and Value. 

(2S) Vol. I, chap. 7. Tlie Labour Process and the Process 
of Producing Surplus-Value. 1 2. The Produotion of 
Surplus-Value. 

(29) Vol. I, chap. 8. Constant Capital and Variable Capital. 

(30) Ibid. 

(31) Ibid. 

(32) Ibid. 

(33) Vol. I, chap. 3. Money, or the Circulation of Com- 

modities. § 1. The Measure of Values. 

(34) Vol. I, chap. 5. Contradictions in the General Formula 

of Capital. 

(35) Vol. I, chap. 1. Commodities. § 1. The Two Factors of 

a Commodity : Use-Value and Value. 

(36) Vol. I, clrap. 3. Money, or the Circulation of Com- 

modities. § 2. The Medium of Circulation. 

(37) Vol. m. Part VI. The Transformation of Surplus-Profit 

into Ground-Rent ; chap. 37. Preliminaries. 

(38) Vol. I, chap. 1. ' Commodities. § 1. The Two Factors of 

a Commodity : Use-Value and Value. 

(39) Vol. I, chap. 11. Rate and Mass of Surplus-Value. 

(40) Vol. in, chap. 9. Formation of a General Rate of Profit 

and Transformation into Prices of Production. 

(41) Vol. m, cliap. 45. Absolute Ground-Rent. 

(42) Vol. I, chap. 7. The Latmur Process and the Process 

of Producing Surplus-Value. § 2. The Production of 
Surplus-Value. 

(43) Vol. in, chap. 47. Genesis of Capitalist Ground-Rent. 

§ 1. Introductory Remarks. 

(44) Vol. I, chap. 8. Constant Capital and Variable Capital. 

(45) Vol. ni, chap. 48. The Trirritarian Formula, § 3. 

(46) Vol. I, chap. 12. The Concept of Relative Surplus-Value. 

(47) Vol. I, chap. 25. The General Laws of Capitalist Accumu- 

117 



All ESSAY ON IIARXIAN ECONOMICS 

lation. § 2. EclatK-o Diminution of the'Yariable Part 
of Capital. . 

(IS) A^o!.- I, chap. 15. Maciunery and Modem ladustry. 

§ 6. Tile Theory of Compensation as regards the Work- 
people displaced by Machinery. 

(49) Vol.' in, cliap. 32. Monos'-Capital and Actual Capital ■ 

{conchidcd). 

(60) I'd!. I, cliap. 32. Historical Tendencj' of Capitalist 

Accumulation. 

(61) Vol. Ill, chap. 17. Commercial Profit. 

(62) Vol. I, chap. 18. Various Formula: for the Bate of 

Surplus-A'alue. 

(63) A^jl. m, chap. 10. Compensation' of the Average Bate 

of Profit by Competition. 

(54) Wol. in, chap. 39. Tho First Form of Difiercntial 
Bent. 

(65) Vol. n, Part m. Tho Reproduction and Circulation of 

tho Aggregate Social Capital : chap. 18. Introduction. 

§ 2. Tho Role of Money Capital. 

(50) Vol. in, chap. 49. A Contribution to tho Analysis of the 

Process of Production. 

(57) Vol. I, diap. 1. Commodities. 5 4. Tlie Fetishism" of 
. Commodities and tho Secret ^ereof. 

(58) A''ol. ni, chap. 16. Unravelling tlie Internal Contradictions 

of the Lair. § 4. Supplementary Remarks. 

(69) •A’'oI. n, chap. 10. The Tum-over of tho Variable Capital. , 
§ 3. Tlie Turn-over of tho Variable Capital, considered 
from tlie Point of View of Society. 

(00) Vol. I, chap. 24. The Conversion of Siuplus- Value into 

Capital. § 3. Separation of Surplus-A'nlue into Capital 
and Revenue. 

(01) A^ol. Ill, chap. 15. Unravelling the Internal Contradic- 

tions of the Lmv. 5 1. General Remarks. 

(02) A''ol. I, chop. 25. Tho General Lav of Capitalist Accumu- 

lation. 1 1. Tlie Increased Demand for Labour-Power 
that Accompanies Accumulation, the Composition of 
Capital Rcraaming tho Same. 

(63) A''ol. I, olmp. 26. Tlie General Law of Capitalist Accumu- 

lation. 5 3. Progressive Production of a Relative 
Surplus-Population. 

(64) Ibid. 

(66) A^ol. I, chop. 0. Buying and Selling of Labour-Power. 

(66) Vol. I, ciiap. 10. Tho Working Day. § 1. The Limits of 

the AA'orldng Day. 

(67) Vol. I, chap.- 15, Maohinery and Slodem Iridustry. 

118 



REFERENCES TO ■“ CAPITAL ” 


§ 3. The Pro siin nte ESects of ]Vlicliinerj- on the Work- 
man, (c) Intensification of Labour. 

(68) Ibid, (a) Appropriation of Supplementarj- Labour-Power 

by Capital. 

(69) Wol. I, chap. 10. The Working Day. § 5. The Struggle 

for a Normal Working Day. 

(70) Vol. I, chap. 25. The General Law of Capitalist Accumu- 

lation. § 1. The Increased Demand for Labour that 
Accompanies Accumulation, the Composition of Capital 
Remaining the Same. 

(71) Ibid. § 3. Progressive Production of a Relative Surplus- 

Population. 

(72) Ibid. 

(73) Ibid. 

(74) Ibid. § 1. The Increased Demand foi; Labour-Power that 

Accompanies Accumulation, the Composition of Capital 
Remaining the Same. 

(76) Ibid. § 3. The Progressive Production of a Relative 
Surplus-Population. 

(76) Vol. I; chap. IS. Machinery' and Modem Industry. 

S 9. The Factory Acts. 

(77) V9I. I, chap. 14. Dhdsion of Labour and Manufacture. 

§ 5. The Capitalist Character of Manufacture. 

(78) Vol. I, chap. 17. Changes of Magnitude in the Price of 

Labour-Power and in Surplus-Value. § 1. Length of 
the Working Day and Intensity of Labom: Constant. 
Productiveness of Labour Variable. 

(79) Vol. in, chap. 14. Counteracting Causes. '§ 3. Cheapen- 

ing of the Elements of Constant Capital. 

(80) Vol. m, chap. 13. The Theory of the Law. 

(81) Vol. m, chap. 14. Counteracting Causes. 

(82) Ibid. § 1. Raising the Latensity of Exploitation. 

(83) Ibid. § 2. Depression of Wages below their Value. 

(84) Ibid. § 4. Relative Overpopulation. 

(85) VoL in, chap. 15. Unravelling the Internal Contradic- 

tions of the Law. § 2. Conflict between the Expansion 
of Production and the Creation of Values. 

(86) Ibid. § 3. Surplus of Capital and Surplus of Population. 

(87) A’'ol. I, chap. 3. Money, or the Circulation of Com- 

modities. § 2. The Medium of Circulation. 

(88) Vol. n, chap. 20. Simple Reproduction. § 2. The Two 

Departments of Social Production. 

(89) Ibid. § 1. The Formulation of the Question. 

(90) Ibid. § 3. The Transactions between the Two Depart- 

ments. 


119 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMCS 
(91) Vol.n,chap.20. §4. TransaetioasirithinDepartmentll. 

(02) Ibid. § 11. Reproduction of the Fixed Capital. 

(93) Ihid. 

(94) Vol. n, chap. 9. The Total Tum-over of Advanc.ed 

Capital. § 4. ■ • * 

(95) Vol. II, chap. 16. ' The Tum-over of the Variable Capital. 

§ 3. The Turn-over of the Variable Capital, considered 
from the Point of View of Society. 

(96) Ibid. 

(97) Ibid. 

(98) Vol. n, chap. 20. 1 11. Reproduction of the Fixed 

Capital. 

(99) Ibid. § 12. The Reproduction of the Money Supply. " 

(100) Vol. II, chap. 21. Accumulation and Reproduction on 

an Enlarged Scale. 1 1. Accumulation in Depart, 
ment I. 

(101) Vol. n, chap. 20. Simple Reproduction. § i. Transac- 

tions within Department II. 

(102) Vol. II, chap. 16.- The Tum-over of the Variable 

Capital. § 3. The Tum-over of the Variable Capital, 
considered from the Point of View of Society. 

(103) Vol. in, chap. IS. Unravelling the Internal Contradic- 

tions of the Daw. § 1. General Remarks. 

(104) Vol. Ill, chap. 30. Money-Capital and Actual Capital. 

(105) Vol. I, chap. 3. Money, or the Circulation of Com- 

modities. § 2. The Medium of Circulation, (5) The 
Currency of Money. 

(106) IMd. § 3. Money, (6) Means of Payment. 

(107) Vol. nr, chap. 22. Rate of Interest. 

(108) Vol. m, chap. 16. Unravelling the Internal Contradic- 

tions of the Law. § 2. Conflict between the Expan- 
sion of Production and the Creation of Values. 

(109) Vol. n, chap. 17. The Circulation of Surplus-Value. 

§ 1. Simple Reproduction. 

(110) Vol. I, chap. 25. The General Law of Capitalist Accumu- 

lation. §3. Progressive Production of a Relative 
Surplus-Population. 

(111) Vol. n, chap. 17. The Circulation of Surplus-Value. 

§ 1. Simple Reproduction. 

(112) Ibid. 

(114) Vol m, chap. 15. Unravelling the Internal Contradic- 
tion of the Law. §2. Conflict between the Expansion 
of Production and the Creation of Values. 


120 



INDEX 


Abstinence, 25 

Accumulation; see Investment 

Capital, dates of publication,' 

■ vii - T 

references, 116-20 
Cassel, 66 
Class conflict, 1, 4 
Commerce, 24 n. 

Communist Manifesto, 38 
Competition, 2 
imperfect, 48, 90 et seq. 
Constant capital, 7 ; see also 
Organic composition 
Crisis, theories of, 4, 63 et seq., 
102-4 

Depreciation, 8, 15, 29 
and renewals, 53 
Discounting the future, 64,' 66 
Disguised unemployment, 64n. 
Disutility of labour, 2, 80 
Douglas, Major, 53 

Engels, vii, 18 n., 29 n., 42 n., 
. 92, 93 

E^loitation, orthodox sense, 
25, 93 n. 

Exploitation, rate of, 8, 26, 40, 
46, 97-8 

relative rates of, 18-19 
E^ort surplus, 56 

Eactory Acts, 36 

Gesell, 51, 87 
Gold, 66, 73 n., 79 


Grggoiy, 208 
Guillebaud, 65 n. 

Hegel, 15 
Hobson, 51 

House-building, 83, 109 

Imperialism, 3, 112 
Inequality of income, and sav- 
ing, 76 j see also Under- 
consumpiaon 

Interest, rate of, 66, 82-4, 114 
Hiventions, 12, 37, 38, 41, 86 
Investment, 30, 62-6, 78-9 
inducement to, 34, 59, 73, 
86, 114 

Ealeoki, 47, 97 n., 98 n., 109 n. 
Keynes, 23 n., 51, 73, 75 n., 
net seq., 100, 107-8, 110, 
115 

Lexis, 92-3 
Luxemburg, Bosa, 86 

Macmillan Beport, 108 
Marshall, 25, 50, 64 n., 75 n., 
76 n., 89 n., 95 
Marx Engels Correspondence, 
63 n., 107 n. 

Moneybags, 21 
Monopoly, 4, 96 
Monopsony, 91, 108 n. 

natural resources, 16, 61 



AN ESSAY ON MARXIAN ECONOMICS 


Organiccomposition of capital, 
8, 17, 41 

Pigou, 25, 70 n., 83 n., 99 n., 
100 n/ 

Productivity of capital, 21, 22 
of labour, 20,-23, 38, 46 
mmginal, 31, 43, 62 
Profit margin, 88, 90, 98, 111 
rate of, 7, 40, 42, 48-9$ 73 
relative rates of, 12, 17, 69 
Pursuit curve, 73 

Quantity theoiy of money, 81 

Bent, 12, 28, 61 
absolute, 26 n. 

Rentiers, 22, 82, 109 
Besearch, 111-12 
Beserve army, 35 et seg., 69, 
85, 102 

Bisk-bearing, 60, 71 
Bobertson, 64 n. . 

Bobinson Crusoe, 28 n. 
Bobinson, Joan, 4Gn., 76 n., 
82 n., 108 n. 

Bothbarth, w 

Saving, 76 ; see also Invest- 
ment 

Say’s Law, 60, GO, 102, 104, 
106 

Smith, Adam, 91 
Socially necessary labour, 7, 
■16 

Static equilibrium, 62, 70, 73 


Subsistence level, see Wages 

Substitution, 10, 63 . 

Supply price of capital, 13, 68, 
71, 113 

Sinplus, 7 ; see also Profit 

Technical progress, see Inven- 
tions 

Turnover, period of, 8, 42 

TTnder-consumption, 57, 86, 

86 

Unpaid labour,- 8, 26 ' 

Use-value, 13 

Utilisation of capital, 9, 48, 49, 
89 

Value, 7, 16, 23 

and price, 16-18, 29-32 
of labour-power, 14n., 36n., 
47- 

Value, Price and Frqfit, 106 n. 

Variable capital, 7 j see also 
Organic composition 

Voltaire, 27 

Wages, and prices, 100-102, 
106-7 

of skill, 14, 23 
real, 11, -35, 39, 43, 108 
see also Elicitation 

Waiting, 25, 64 

WickseU, 67, 68 

_Wolf, 18 n. 

Working day, length of, 36, 46, 
46 


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